Race #4:


:4::5::2:

See a lot of names I recognize in this race.

Nice Call there Jay! Was that you sending in all that late money on the Winner?
It came in so late that I didn't have time to make a substitution! Nice Quinella though!

4-10-12-6– Dutch Loss 92% Margin – $35.10 Quinella

Not betting, just trying to get a feel for whats going on.

Race #5:

:5::4::3::1:

10-8-7-9– Dutch Loss 29% Margin/Passed – $41.60 Quinella & $478.40 Tri / All of that one!

All in all it was a great card. My Dutch Win bets only produced a break-even result by hitting 3 of 6 playable races. But there were quite a few decent Verticals as the (6) Quinellas in total produced some excellent profit.

Hong Kong at Happy Valley. December 12, 2018… 28th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 54 Degrees Partly Cloudy 0% of Rain Wind: N 10 to 20mph.

Post time: 6.15am ET, 3.15 am PT. Rail: Course “C”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181212_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 4 :10: Applause (5-2): Has only one win in 26 races in Hong Kong and is 1 for 20 in Class 4, and is a dead closer in a race with very little speed.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 164 (Winners: 3rd & 12th, Second: 5th & 10th)
Race 2 :11: Fire And Gold (18-1)

Race 160 (Winners: 4th & 7th, Second: 3rd & 6th)
Race 8 :9: Sichuan Boss (29-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 7 :1: Fairy Twins (13-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 3 :6: Le Pegase (8-1)
Race 8 :12: Looking Good (9-1)

Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 6 :4: Fantastic Fabio (13-1)
Race 8 :1: Pretty Bauhinia (12-1)

Distance specialists running tonight:
None

Class specialists running tonight:
None

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 5 :1: Dynamic Eagle (9-2): Was a step slow out the gate going 9 furlongs then became a little rank heading into the first turn, soon settled down on the backside but was herded in between entering the final turn. At the 450 mark he was forced to be taken seriously when Brave Legend stopped running, costing him at least three length to the field, closed well in the stretch afterwards but his race was decided in the turn.

Past watch list runners running tonight:
None


Key Plays:
Race 4 :9: Wah May Princess (6-1)
Race 5 :1: Dynamic Eagle (9-2)
Race 6 :8: Complacency (2-1)

Longshots:
Race 3 :1: Smart Salute (9-1)
Race 7 :1: Fairy Twins (13-1)

HONG KONG – HAPPY VALLEY WED 12/12/18
 

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m posting some pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value.
There will 8 races at Happy Valley ALL on the Turf: (from top to bottom) -
(3)-Class3, (3)-Class4 & (2)-Class5

Post Time Race #1 – 6:15 AM WED EST

Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8

TVG is offering live video for all these races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local

I’ve already taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and using a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but these selections generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1 - 1650M C5 (8.25F)T….….2-1-9 W/ 5-3-10 ….……...6.15 AM EST –

R#2 - 1200M C4 (6F)T…….….. 10-1-4 W/ 3-5-12 …….…6:45 AM EST –

R#3 - 1650M C5 (8.25F)T….…..2-8-1 W/ 4-10-7 .........7.15 AM EST -

R#4 - 1200M C4 (6F)T…..….....4-10-12 W/ 5-9-1 ……..7:45 AM EST –

R#5 - 1800M C4 (9F)T………..…8-11-3 W/ 1-4-12 ……...8:15 AM EST –

R#6 - 1200M C3 (6F)T……...…..8-7-1 W/ 12-9-11 …..…8:45 AM EST –

R#7 – 1000M C3 (5F)T……...…..11-6-7 W/ 8-3-1 ..........9:15 AM EST –

R#8 - 1650M C3 (8.25F)T….......5-1-3 W/ 6-2-7 …........…9:50 AM EST –