- Harness Racing
( http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=41)
- - Dime Supers
( http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=141106)
| Ray2000 |
10-08-2017 04:57 AM |
Update:
Thx JB, but yesterday broke the bank:(
Bet . . . . . $222 (5 refunds of $3.60 ea)
Returned . $65.73 total on 6 races
This run so far
Bet $740.40 Return $698.52 net -$41.88
Thanks for the 'Goddess of Rebates' to swing it positive :)
Sunday's Supers ($108)
Pocono R2........ 1 / 5,2,8,4,3
Pocono R6........ 3 / 2,1,4,5,6
Pocono R7........ 6 / 5,3,2,4,1
Pocono R12....... 9 / 5,7,3,4,1
Pocono R14....... 2 / 1,6,3,7,4
Rosecroft R2..... 2 / 1,8,9,5,3
Rosecroft R11.... 5 / 8,6,7,1,2
Rosecroft R13.... 5 / 3,4,2,1,6
Northfield R4.... 4 / 6,7,2,1,3
Northfield R5.... 3 / 4,2,6,1,5
Northfield R6.... 1 / 6,4,5,3,2
Northfield R9.... 3 / 9,1,2,4,5
Northfield R11... 1 / 4,9,6,7,2
|
| Ray2000 |
10-09-2017 04:15 AM |
Update:
Yesterday Wipe Out, no hits . . two $7.20 refunds
lost $93.60
Changing tactics, dropping all races where Top Pick is the Morning Line.
Monday Funday . . . Dime and 20¢* Supers ($120 cost)
Dayton R10....... 4 / 5,2,3,1,6
Dayton R11....... 7 / 5,6,2,1,3
Harrington R8.... 3 / 4,8,7,5,1
Monticello R2.... 4 / 2,1,8,3,5
Pocono R2........ 4 / 3,1,8,2,5
Pocono R6........ 2 / 1,9,3,4,5
Northfield R4.... 5 / 1,4,6,2,3*
Northfield R5.... 2 / 5,7,8,1,3*
Northfield R7.... 3 / 9,8,5,1,2*
Northfield R14... 9 / 4,1,3,2,5*
Northfield R15... 2 / 1,6,4,3,5*
Mohawk R7........ 6 / 1,4,9,2,3*
Mohawk R8........ 2 / 7,3,6,1,4*
To construct the ticket, I'm using 2 program approaches, one geared for Strike rate, the other for Longshots
The 2 bots must agree on top pick.
The bottom numbers are their respective 2nd and 3rd picks plus best post for the track.
To handle duplicates, the lowest un-used post(s) is added to make 5 horses on bottom.
|
| Ray2000 |
10-10-2017 04:54 AM |
Update:
Yesterday 3 hits with a juicy one at Harrington
HAR R8 . . . . . . $173.54
MOH R8 . . . . . . $53.32
NFLD R4 . . . . . . $43.64
Total return . . . $270.50 on $120.00 cost
Total this run $15.02
Tuesday plays ($144 on Supers)
Dayton R4........ 5 / 8,6,7,1,2
Dayton R5........ 4 / 1,2,5,9,8
Dayton R9........ 4 / 7,8,6,5,1
Hoosier R3....... 4 / 3,5,7,2,1
Mohawk R6........ 5 / 8,4,2,3,6
Mohawk R9........ 1 / 2,3,5,6,4
Monticello R8.... 3 / 1,6,7,2,4
Northfield R4.... 1 / 3,5,6,9,2
Northfield R9.... 9 / 1,7,8,2,3
Northfield R10... 5 / 2,3,7,1,4
Northfield R12... 5 / 8,2,6,3,1
Northfield R14... 3 / 2,9,7,1,4
Northfield R15... 1 / 8,2,3,4,5
Pocono R6........ 4 / 1,3,5,2,6
Pocono R9........ 5 / 9,1,7,4,2
Pocono R14....... 4 / 3,7,6,1,2
|
| Ray2000 |
10-11-2017 04:50 AM |
Update:
3 Hits, all 20¢'ers
NFLD R4 . . . .$11.66
NFLD R10. . . .$21.58
NFLD R14. . . .$30.08
Lost -$80.78
This run to date, $-65.76 on $1,098 bet, 0.94 ROI
Wednesday's Supers ($54 cost)
Dime
Monticello R4.... 1 / 6,2,9,3,4
Monticello R5.... 4 / 2,5,3,1,6
Monticello R9.... 2 / 5,8,1,4,3
20¢
Northfield R5.... 1 / 4,9,3,2,5
Northfield R10... 5 / 4,1,7,2,3
Northfield R14... 9 / 1,7,4,2,3
|
| Ray2000 |
10-11-2017 11:40 AM |
Slow day, adding a few other 20¢ Supers for Wednesday
Batavia R5....... 4 / 3,2,1,5,6
Batavia R8....... 3 / 2,6,4,1,5
Batavia R9....... 1 / 5,7,3,2,4
Flamboro R8...... 5 / 8,2,4,1,3
Pompano R2....... 6 / 7,4,3,5,1
|
| Ray2000 |
10-12-2017 04:56 AM |
Results:
Yesterday, 3 hit, 3 had refunds
Monticello R5. . . $60.75
Batvia R5. . . . . $14.40
Pompano R2 . . . $17.26
. . . . . . . . . . . . $92.42 return on $103.20 bet
Lost -$10.78
This run to date, $-76.54 on $1,201 bet, 0.94 ROI
Thursday's Supers
Dayton R8........ 3 / 7,5,4,9,1
Harrington R6.... 4 / 6,7,8,1,2
Monticello R6.... 2 / 8,3,7,1,4
Monticello R8.... 1 / 5,2,8,3,4
Monticello R11... 4 / 1,3,5,2,6
Mohawk R8........ 3 / 5,8,1,6,2
|
| Ray2000 |
10-13-2017 04:41 AM |
Update:
1 teeny tiny hit, Monti R11 paid a record low(?) $2.60
dropped the run's ROI to 0.907, (0.88 is stop loss point)
Supers for Friday the 13th:eek::rip::eek:
Dayton R3........ 5 / 4,2,6,1,3
Dayton R6........ 4 / 5,2,8,1,3
Dayton R7........ 5 / 1,8,3,6,2
Dayton R10....... 6 / 2,7,3,4,5
Freehold R4...... 3 / 5,2,1,6,4
Mohawk R5........ 6 / 4,3,1,2,5
Vernon R6........ 5 / 6,3,4,1,2
Vernon R7........ 5 / 6,4,1,2,3
|
| tyler522 |
10-13-2017 06:22 AM |
Ray, MOH/WDB tracks , highest win%, ROI, impact value factors....esp. beaten fav angle? Thanks in advance
|
| Ray2000 |
10-13-2017 07:51 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by tyler522
(Post 2230856)
Ray, MOH/WDB tracks , highest win%, ROI, impact value factors....esp. beaten fav angle? Thanks in advance
|
I have some data for beaten faves at Moh/Wdb but the sample size is getting too small to be significant.
That's why I use all starters, all tracks.
example:
The Mohawk ROI is skewed by the Horse "Gold Rush" on Sep 4 who was a beaten fave at Clinton but won next start at the Hawk, paying $110.70
Take away that win and the ROI for Mohawk is more like 0.85
Code:
Starts Wins Win% IV ROI
MOH 580 110 0.19 1.61 0.97
WDB 178 31 0.17 1.47 0.61
YR 649 116 0.18 1.39 0.68
The other factor IVs wouldn't mean much either. |
| tyler522 |
10-13-2017 07:57 AM |
Thanks again
|
| Ray2000 |
10-14-2017 05:18 AM |
Results:
Yesterday, 1 hit at Dayton R3 $10.99
ROI has dropped to .88, it's win today or back to the drawing board.
Supers for Saturday (a lot of 5's)
Batavia R4....... 5 / 1,7,2,3,4
Batavia R5....... 1 / 5,4,7,6,2
Batavia R9....... 1 / 6,3,7,5,2
Flamboro R2...... 4 / 1,5,7,2,3
Flamboro R3...... 5 / 6,7,8,2,4
Flamboro R5...... 5 / 4,2,3,1,6
Dayton R3........ 5 / 2,8,7,1,3
Dayton R6........ 5 / 4,8,7,1,2
Dayton R8........ 5 / 3,9,1,8,2
Dayton R12....... 5 / 3,4,6,1,2
Dayton R14....... 4 / 6,8,1,5,2
Freehold R6...... 5 / 7,1,6,2,3
Freehold R8...... 3 / 2,1,7,4,5
Hoosier R1....... 4 / 3,2,6,5,1
Pocono R2........ 3 / 4,7,1,2,5
Pocono R5........ 3 / 6,1,4,7,2
Rosecroft R5..... 5 / 3,2,9,1,4
Vernon R4........ 4 / 7,5,6,1,2
Vernon R7........ 7 / 8,6,4,5,1
Northfield R15... 5 / 1,8,4,2,3
|
| Ray2000 |
10-15-2017 05:08 AM |
Yesterday was good so the run continues...
$162 bet $372.94 Return
FLMD . R2 . . . $30.51
FLMD . R5 . . . $39.97
FHLD . R8. . . . $4.68
HOP . .R1. . . $239.92
PCD . .R2 . . . $25.93
PCD . .R5 . . . $31.93
This run to date, $1500.20 return on $1405.20 bet, 1.07 ROI
Supers for Sunday
Pocono R2........ 5 / 1,6,2,4,3
Pocono R12....... 8 / 1,7,2,4,3
Rosecroft R3..... 3 / 6,9,1,5,2
Rosecroft R7..... 1 / 6,4,9,5,2
Rosecroft R8..... 5 / 4,3,9,1,2
Rosecroft R10.... 6 / 4,1,8,5,2
Vernon R5........ 5 / 8,4,1,2,3
Vernon R13....... 4 / 8,9,5,1,2
Northfield R7.... 5 / 7,4,2,8,1
Northfield R14... 2 / 1,9,7,3,4
Pompano R7....... 5 / 4,6,8,1,2
Flamboro R1...... 4 / 9,8,7,1,2
Flamboro R4...... 5 / 4,6,7,1,2
Flamboro R6...... 4 / 3,8,9,1,2
|
| Ray2000 |
10-16-2017 05:12 AM |
Results:
Yesterday skunked,
Don't know what happened to Vernon, no info available
Lost $108
Mondays Supers
Dayton R13....... 5 / 8,4,2,1,3
Mohawk R1........ 6 / 2,7,4,1,3
Mohawk R2........ 8 / 5,1,6,2,3
Mohawk R4........ 9 / 8,3,T,6,1
Mohawk R8........ 7 / 4,5,6,3,2
Monticello R7.... 4 / 6,5,1,2,3
Northfield R5.... 5 / 9,3,8,6,1
Northfield R12... 3 / 9,1,2,4,5
Pocono R9........ 5 / 9,4,2,1,3
|
| EdZone |
10-16-2017 04:19 PM |
|
| Ray2000 |
10-17-2017 05:34 AM |
Thx Ed, power must have been out a long time.
Yesterday skunked again :(
2 refunds, lost 75.60, . ROI to date. . 0.92
Tuesday's Supers
Dayton R3........ 3 / 7,5,9,2,1
Dayton R5........ 5 / 2,6,8,1,3
Dayton R7........ 2 / 3,T,6,5,1
Dayton R9........ 3 / 1,6,7,5,2
Dayton R11....... 5 / 1,4,7,2,3
Harrington R2.... 8 / 2,1,3,4,5
Hoosier R1....... 6 / 1,4,5,2,3
Hoosier R3....... 1 / 8,9,5,3,2
Monticello R3.... 5 / 4,3,1,2,6
Monticello R4.... 1 / 7,4,3,6,2
Monticello R5.... 5 / 1,6,2,3,4
Northfield R2.... 1 / 6,2,4,3,5
Northfield R10... 3 / 8,7,2,4,1
Pocono R1........ 4 / 5,1,2,3,6
Pocono R5........ 3 / 9,1,6,5,4
|
| All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:16 AM. |
|
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
|
|
