2018-2019 HONG KONG
 

Hong Kong at Sha Tin. First race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 84 degrees Showers Wind: S 5 to 10mph.

Post time: 1am ET, 10 pm PT. Rail: Course “B”, track listed: Good to Yielding

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20180902_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings


Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 2 :8: Sports Master (5-2): Has shown only one decent out and that was his last going 1800 in a closing effort, shortening up to 1600 here, don’t trust these Class 5 runners going a mile or longer.

Horses coming out of key races running today (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *734 (Winners: 4th & 8th, second: 2nd)
Race 5 :8: Shanghai Dragon (27-1)
Race 5 :13: Super Hero Star (13-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 3 :1: Southern Legend (5-1)


Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running today:
Race 3 :2: Winner’s Way (2-1)

Horses for courses running today:
Race 3 :5: Jumbo Luck (7-1)
Race 10 :1: Rattan (2-1)

Distance specialists running today:
Race 3 :1: Southern Legend (5-1)
Race 10 :1: Rattan (2-1)

Class specialists running today:
Race 9 :2: Key Witness (10-1)

Last race watch list horses running today:
Race 5 :4: King Opie (6-5): Was bumped around at the start then rushed himself up to the front, was taken back slightly entering the turn but was bothered by a loose runner soon afterwards. Took a clear lead entering the stretch and looked the winner at the 200 metre mark, but started to tire late and was just caught at the wire while beating the third place runner by over two lengths.

Past watch list runners running today:
None

Key Plays:
Race 5 :4: King Opie (6-5)
Race 7 :2: Turf Sprint (3-1)
Race 9 :10: Speed Vision (7-5)

Longshots:
Race 1 :6: Happy Tour (8-1)
Race 5 :1: All You Need (11-1)
Race 8 :1: General Sherman (15-1)

Computer Picks:
Race 1: 6 – 3 – 1 – 2
Race 2: 10 – 6 – 7 – 1
Race 3: 4 – 5 – 2 – 6
Race 4: 8 – 4 – 13 – 10
Race 5: 4 – 13 – 7 – 10
Race 6: 7 – 8 – 2 – 11
Race 7: 2 – 5 – 6 – 8
Race 8: 4 – 3 – 2 – 9
Race 9: 10 – 6 – 11 – 8
Race 10: 1 – 13 – 8 – 4

Hong Kong at Happy Valley. Second race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 81 degrees Partly Cloudy 50% of showers Wind: SW 5 mph.

Post time: 6.15am ET, 3.15 am PT. Rail: Course “B”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20180905_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings


Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 2 :8: Snowhooves (2-1) Out of 43 outs he has only 2 wins with both of them coming on the dirt track at Sha Tin, looking for him to catch traffic while breaking on the rail.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *712 (Winners: 1st & 12th, Second: 2nd)
Race 7 :3: Lucky Girl (8-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 3 :1: Flying Monkey (7-1)
Race 5 :1: King’s Man (8-1)
Race 5 :3: Wah May Baby (15-1)
Race 6 :2: Fairy Twins (6-1)
Race 7 :3: Lucky Girl (8-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 5 :7: Speedy Wally (5-2)

Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 7 :7: Multigogo (9-1)
Race 8 :2: Super Turbo (11-1)
Race 8 :7: Cheerfuljet (21-1)

Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 6 :2: Fairy Twins (6-1)
Race 7 :7: Multigogo (9-1)
Race 8 :7: Cheerfuljet (21-1)

Class specialists running tonight:
Race 3 :2: Mr Right (9-1)

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 5 :5: Starlight Knight (5-1) Was forced three wide going into the first turn, became slightly rank in the first turn after a runner directly in front of him also was throwing his head around. He continued in the three path on the backside while racing at the rear of the pack, made a nice move in the turn for home while being forced out to the four path, started to drift in when he straightened up in the stretch while running on his wrong lead, when he did switch he re-gathered himself and continued on well to the wire only to be beaten by the second betting choice who had a much easier trip.

Race 5 :7: Speedy Wally (5-2) Was up closer to the pace than normal while being asked to do so, but was unable to find himself to the rail in the first turn and raced in the 3 path. Rispoli settled him in the back half of the field on the backstretch, was asked by the Italian to pick it up but was still unable to save any ground, ran evenly in the stretch not being able to get near the front runners.

Past watch list runners running tonight:
None

Key Plays:
Race 6 :11: Phantom Falcon (6-1)
Race 8 :3: Fortune Booth (9-5)

Longshots:
Race 3 :2: Mr Right (10-1)
Race 7 :4: Goldfield (12-1)

Selections:
Race 1 1 – 6 – 2 – 7
Race 2 8 – 3 – 2 – 7
Race 3 8 – 5 – 2 – 1
Race 4 3 – 8 – 2 – 4
Race 5 5 – 7 – 1 – 2
Race 6 11 – 2 – 3 – 8
Race 7 1 – 4 – 2 – 3
Race 8 3 – 2 – 1 – 4

Hong Kong at Sha Tin. Third race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 85 Degrees Showers 50% Wind: NE 10 to 15 mph.

Post time: 11.50pm ET, 8.15pm PT. Rail: Course “C”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20180909_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 7 :8: Righteous Mate (5-2) Has yet to run in the money after 11 tries and 5 in this class.

Horses coming out of key races running today (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
None

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 3 :1: Circuit Number Two (7-5)
Race 9 :1: Encore Boy (4-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running today:
Race 2 :2: Jolly Banner (3-1)
Race 10 :1: Handsome Bo Bo (9-2)


Horses for courses running today:
Race 2 :5: Rattan (3-5)

Distance specialists running today:
Race 2 :2: Jolly Banner (3-1)

Class specialists running today:
None

Last race watch list horses running today:
None

Past watch list runners running today:
None

Key Plays:
Race 7 :5: Smart Charade (7-2)
Race 8 :1: Enjoy Life (4-1)
Race 10 :11: Aerohappiness (7-5)

Longshots:
Race 6 :9: Kirov (10-1)
Race 7 :10: Full Of Chances (14-1)
Race 7 :11: Po Ching Treasure (19-1)

HONG KONG - SHA TIN - SUN 9/9/18
 

Good evening and soon to be morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
This is the 3rd race day for this meet. So, I thought I would stop by and post a few pre-race selections for another competitive card that looks to offer some decent value.
There will 10 races at Sha Tin with all 8 on Turf and 2 on the Dirt: (from top to bottom) -
(1)-Class1, (0)-Class2, (3)-Class3, (4)-Class4 & (2)-Class5

Post Time Race #1 – 12:50 AM SUN EST

Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8

TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local

I’ve already taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1 - 1000M C5 (5F)T…..7-3-6 W/ 9-8 ….….12:50 AM EST -
(Also of interest are: #12 – Watch Live tote activity)

R#2 - 1400M C1 (7F)T…........ 4-2-3 …......…1:20 AM EST –
(Also of interest are: #1 – Watch Live tote activity)

R#3 - 1600M C3 (8F)T….....1-5-8 W/ 3-6 .......1:50 AM EST -
(Also of interest are: #2 – Watch Live tote activity)

R#4 - 1400M C5 (7F)T….....5-6-11 W/ 2-8 …....2:20 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #10 – Watch Live tote activity)

R#5 - 1200M C4 (6F)T.…..…5-1-4 W/ 6-9 …....3:10 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #2 – Watch Live tote activity)

R#6 - 1200M C4 (6F)D…….2-5-10 W/ 5-7 ……3:40 AM EST –
(Also of interest are: #9 – Watch Live tote activity)

R#7 – 1600M C4 (8F)T……...5-3-2 W/ 7-9 ......4:10 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #11 – Watch Live tote activity)

R#8 - 1400M C4 (7F)T…..…8-1-3 W/ 7-5 ………4:40 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #4 – Watch Live tote activity)

R#9 - 1200M C3 (6F)D.….10-8-4 W/ 9-1-2 ….….5:15 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #5 – Watch Live tote activity)

R#10 - 1200M C3 (6F)T....11-5-1 W/ 10-12-4 …5:50 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #6 – Watch Live tote activity)

Hong Kong at Happy Valley. Fourth race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 79 Degrees Showers 70% Wind: E 15 to 25 mph with gust up to 40mph.

Post time: 7.15am ET, 4.15 am PT. Rail: Course “C”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20180912_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings


Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 2 :8: Split Of A Second (4-1) Showed early speed when he was stretched out slightly to 1400 metres but stopped badly in the stretch and was placed on the Vet’s list afterwards, now draws the 11 hole with the short run to the backside turn and may have trouble soon after the start with his speed rival breaking just under him.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *712 (Winners: 6th & 9th, Second: 1st)
Race 5 :4: Right Honourable (4-1)

Race *726 (Winners: 1st, 4th & 7th)
Race 4 :10: Junzi (22-1)

Race *727 (Winners: 1st & 6th, Second: 7th)
Race 2 :6: Clear Choice (6-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 1 :6: Wealthy Fortune (7-1)
Race 3 :6: Namjong Plus (4-1)
Race 5 :2: Ten Flames (6-1)
Race 5 :7: Sparkling Sword (11-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
None

Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 8 :1: Sichuan Dar (8-1)
Race 8 :3: Litterateur (6-1)
Race 8 :5: Winning Faith (9-2)
Race 8 :8: Pretty Bauhinia (7-1)

Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 6 :2: Keep Moving (5-1)

Class specialists running tonight:
None

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 2 :7: Fire And Gold (11-1) Was lucky enough to get Purton for the run at the end of the meet when he was in the battle with Moreira for the Jockey Championship. Settled just off the pace behind the fight on the front end while racing in the two path, started looking for room entering the stretch but was herded by Chadwick, then had to be taken up at the 230 metre mark when Hard Ball Get started tiring and drifted into his path and then bumped pretty hard by Chadwick on Fortune Hunter, was wrapped up afterwards and galloped out for the last 150 metres.


Past watch list runners running tonight:
None

Key Plays:
Race 4 :2: Victory Power (2-1)
Race 5 :4: Right Honourable (4-1)
Race 6 :3: Turf sprint (7-2)
Race 8 :2: Limitless (5-1)

Longshots:
Race 2 :7: Fire And Gold (11-1)

Cancellation of the Sha Tin RACE CARD 9-16-18
 

What do you mean by the “best racing product”?

You mean to tell me that statement needs to be interpreted for you? Well use your imagination and you might get the answer!

Transfer of Sha Tin All Weather Track trials to Wed 9-19-18
 

Transfer of Sha Tin All Weather Track trials to Wednesday 19 September 2018

17/09/2018 15:21

Due to the impact of Super Typhoon Mangkhut on track work operations, the Tuesday 18 September 2018 All Weather Track trials will be transferred to Wednesday 19 September to accommodate requests from Trainers.

The Small All Weather Track will be harrowed on Tuesday, weather permitting and harrowing will not be applied for the Small All Weather Track on Wednesday.

CheckMark, he means that he believes that racing offered in Hong Kong ('racing product') is the best racing in the world. Biggest fields in general, deepest pools for betting, best oversight of rules of engagement by all concerned, least shenanigans, etc.

Can't say that I disagree with that at all!

Ted

Ok thanks ted for clairifying

the Kentucky Downs meet was fun to watch and participate in too this year.

Very nicely articulated Ted, however I felt my opinionated statement stands on its own merit and really shouldn’t require further clarification. As many here probably already know that I am one of the few advocates of Hong Kong racing on this forum as many of my previous posts have demonstrated.

BTW I can acknowledge the truth in your comment only because I’m told that you and my mentor have been corresponding on many positive aspects of Hong Kong racing quite a bit. I would also like to mention the name of another avid and very successful HK player who he’s been in touch with, but I feel it’s not my place to share in those endeavors.

Absolutely! And I’m sure you’ve noticed my positive comments about KD on that other thread. What I didn’t mention was the success I had due to the judicious betting patterns provided by those who were also playing the races there. Aside from a few obvious factors, the overall product of that short meet was the closest I’ve seen to the HK model here in the States. It’s no wonder that it was once again so well received by the betting population.

Hong Kong at Sha Tin. Fifth race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 87 degrees Partly Cloudy 20% for rain Wind: ESE 5 to 10mph.

Post time: 1am ET, 10pm PT. Rail: Course “A”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20180922_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 8 :2: Jing Jing Win (4-1) Is coming off a nice long vacation due to a front left leg injury, gets Purton for the trip but usually gets one of the top riders and usually it doesn’t seem to help. There are others in here just as fast if not faster than him.

Horses coming out of key races running today (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
None

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 3 :11: Regency Darling (13-1)
Race 4 :4: Elusive State (21-1)
Race 6 :2: Encore Boy (2-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running today:
Race 5 :3: Pakistan Friend (5-2)
Race 10 :4: Morethanlucky (5-1)

Horses for courses running today:
Race 8 :5: Goko (9-2)

Distance specialists running today:
None

Class specialists running today:
None


Last race watch list horses running today:
Race 5 :5: Have Fun Together (9-5) Went off as the chalk with Moreira on in the final meet of last year when he was fighting for the championship with Purton and just stood there when the gates opened conceding at least 4 lengths to the field. When he straightened up in the stretch he was forced to take up due to a lack of running room, closed well in the middle of the stretch only to get beat by a little less than 2 lengths.

Past watch list runners running today:
None

Key Plays:
Race 5 :5: Have Fun Together (9-5)
Race 9 :4: Comfort Life (5-1)
Race 10 :2: Citron Spirit (5-1)

Longshots:
Race 1 :4: Great Joy (16-1)
Race 4 :2: General Dino (14-1)
Race 8 :3: Dragon Power (22-1)

HONG KONG - SHA TIN - Sat 9/22/18
 

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I wanted to stop by and share some pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There will 10 races at Sha Tin with 7 on Turf and 3 on the Dirt: (from top to bottom) -
(0)-Class1, (1)-Class2, (4)-Class3, (4)-Class4 & (1)-Class5

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM SAT EST

Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8

TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local

I’ve already taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1 - 1200M C4 (6F)D…....6-8-11 W/ 5-1-9 …...….1:00 AM EST -

R#2 - 1200M C5 (6F)D…... 5-1-10 W/ 6-7-12 …..…1:30 AM EST –

R#3 - 1200M C4 (6F)T….....3-5-1 W/ 7-11-14 .......2:00 AM EST -

R#4 - 1600M C4 (8F)T….....1-9-11 W/ 6-13-5 …....2:30 AM EST

R#5 - 1400M C4 (7F)T...……5-3-2 W/ 7-1-12 …......3:00 AM EST

R#6 - 1200M C3 (6F)D……..2-8-1 W/ 4-5-12 …....…3:35 AM EST –

R#7 – 1800M C3 (9F)T……...4-1-5 W/ 3-6 ...............4:05 AM EST

R#8 - 1000M C3 (5F)T….....2-5-1 W/ 8-12-6 …..……4:35 AM EST

R#9 - 1400M C3 (7F)T.….….11-8-6 W/ 4-2-12 ….….5:10 AM EST

R#10 - 1400M C2 (7F)T......4-2-1 W/ 13-14-5 ……..5:45 AM EST

Hong Kong at Happy Valley. Sixth race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 78 degrees Partly Cloudy 20% of rain Wind: ENE 5mph.

Post time: 7.15am ET, 4.15 am PT. Rail: Course “C+3”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20180926_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings


Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 2 :6: Top Ace (7-2) Is winless in Hong Kong after 31 tries and has yet to hit the board in 4 outs at the downtown course, connections are very hot but will try and beat him in here.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *726 (Winners: 1st, 4th & 7TH)
Race 4 :7: Bingo (11-1)

Race *731 (Winners: 1st & 4th, Second: 5th)
Race 8 :4: Extremely Fun (12-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 6 :4: Sparkling Sword (7-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 1 :6: Multimax (6-1)
Race 6 :9: Speedy Wally (4-1)

Horses for courses running tonight:
None

Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 5 :6: Multigogo (7-1)

Class specialists running tonight:
None

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 4 :5: Country Star (7-5) Was bet down to the 2-1 second choice in his debut for Size with Zach on for the ride. He broke well but started pulling soon after the start while racing near the back of the field, started his move when he straightened up in the stretch but was forced to be taken up at the 260 metre mark when two runners in front of him drifted towards each other. He looked to have lost his concentration afterwards for the next 100 metres, started running again when he was able to get clear near the wire, and galloped out well. Keeps Purton for the ride and gets a favourable draw in a very weak Class 4 field today.

Race 8 :3: Starlight (7-2) He took his normal running position in the back third of the field down the backside, raced 2 wide in the turn, started gaining on the front runners mid-stretch but was blocked by those same tiring leaders, then was forced back towards the rail when the favourite Buoyant Boy was making his winning move. Purton grabbed him up and let him gallop out after that. Drew the 11 hole today, Purton will most likely grab him soon after the start and get as close to the rail and try to make a run on it in the stretch.

Past watch list runners running tonight:
Race 6 :7: Starlight Knight (16-1)
Race 6 :9: Speedy Wally (4-1)

Key Plays:
Race 4 :5: Country Star (7-5)
Race 6 :9: Speedy Wally (4-1)
Race 8 :3: Starlight (7-2)

Longshots:
Race 5 :2: My Ally (16-1)
Race 7 :1: Breeders’ Star (10-1)

Hong Kong at Sha Tin. October 2, 2018 Seventh race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 85 Degrees Partly Cloudy 10% of rain Wind: NE 5 to 10 mph.

Post time: 1 am ET, 10.00 pm PT. Rail: Course “A+3”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181001_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 4 :7: Golden Four (4-1) Just missed out in his debut of the racing year but had everything going his way, a strong pace to run at with a track that was favouring closers. Draws the 11 post and with both the trainer and rider still on the duck, will be playing that he’s still winless after today.

Horses coming out of key races running today (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *727 (Winners: 1st & 6th, Second: 7th)
Race 1 :12: Manful Star (8-1)

Race *698 (Winners: 1st & 3rd, Second: 5th)
Race 3 :7: Seventy Seventy (7-1)

Race *740 (Winners: 1st & 8th, Second: 5th)
Race 6 :14: Gold Land (23-1)

Race *734 (Winners: 4th & 8th, Second: 2nd)
Race 9 :11: Team Spirit (11-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 8 :2: Season’s Bloom (11-1)
Race 8 :6: Southern Legend (14-1)
Race 9 :5: Superich (6-5)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running today:
Race 2 :5: Bullish Glory (5-1)
Race 3 :6: Complacency (7-2)
Race 8 :1: Beauty Generation (9-2)
Race 8 :2: Season’s Bloom (11-1)
Race 8 :5: Fifty Fifty (9-2)
Race 8 :8: Ping Hi Star (7-2)
Race 8 :11: Nothingilikemore (5-1)

Horses for courses running today:
Race 7 :1: Ivictory (6-5)
Race 7 :3: Hot King Prawn (7-5)
Race 8 :3: Thewizordofoz (23-1)
Race 8 :8: Ping Hi Star (7-2)
Race 8 :11: Nothingilikemore (5-1)
Race 10 :10: Raging Storm (9-1)


Distance specialists running today:
Race 7 :3: Hot King Prawn (7-5)
Race 7 :4: Not Listenin’tome (6-1)

Class specialists running today:
None

Last race watch list horses running today:
Race 3 :7: Seventy Seventy (7-1) He broke well enough and was placed near the back half of the field, but after 200 metres he started to raise his head and raced very uncomfortable for the next 200 metres. Moved off the rail to the four path entering the stretch, but lacked running room until late and was forced to be taken up nearing the wire after the race had already been decided by the easy favourite winner Mighty Maverick. Unfortunately drew the 11 hole for his first race of the season.

Race 8 :4: Beauty Only (12-1) Was a step slow then was pinched back when the surrounding runners came together, raced at the rear of the field on the backside, moved to the three path in the turn. Callan continued to take him wider entering the stretch, he continued to close but wasn’t able to chase down the chalk winner The Golden Age near the wire. Has a favourable post today even though he’s in tough with some real bears in here but he seems to run well after breaks.

Past watch list runners running today:
None

Key Plays:
Race 3 :7: Seventy Seventy (7-1)
Race 8 :4: Beauty Only (12-1)

Longshots:
Race 2 :2: Play It (15-1)
Race 3 :2: Super Eighteen (15-1)
Race 5 :2: Big Bang Bong (13-1)
Race 9 :11: Team Spirit (11-1)

HONG KONG - SHA TIN MON 10/1/18
 

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I wanted to stop by and post a few pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There will 10 races at Sha Tin ALL on the Turf: (from top to bottom) -
(2)-ClassG3, (1)-Class2, (3)-Class3, (4)-Class4 & (0)-Class5

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM MON EST

Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8

TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local

I’ve already taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1 - 1000M C4 (5F)T….......9-6-3 W/7-11-12 ….….1:00 AM EST -

R#2 - 1800M C4 (9F)D…..... 8-6-7 W/ 5-1-11 …..…1:30 AM EST –

R#3 - 1200M C4 (6F)T….....6-3-7 W/ 4-1-10 .......2:00 AM EST -

R#4 - 1400M C4 (7F)T….....7-9-4 W/ 12-6-2 …....2:30 AM EST -

R#5 - 1400M C3 (7F)T.…...…14-9-6 W/ 12-10-2 …....3:00 AM EST –

R#6 - 1600M C3 (8F)T……....4-13-7 W/ 12-1-10 ……3:35 AM EST –

R#7 – 1000M G3 (5F)T……....1-3-4 W/ 6 ......4:05 AM EST -

R#8 - 1400M G3 (7F)T…....…5-8-11 W/ 1-13-4 ………4:40 AM EST –

R#9 - 1200M C3 (6F)T.…..….5-7-10 W/ 3-4-14 ….….5:15 AM EST –

R#10 - 1200M C2 (6F)T.......2-3-4 W/ 6-8-10 …….5:50 AM EST –

Thanks for the key horse in the 3rd.

Hong Kong at Happy Valley. October 3, 2018 8th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 73 Degrees Clear 0% of rain Wind: NE 5 to 10mph.

Post time: 6.15am ET, 3.15 am PT. Rail: Course “A”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181003_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourites on the card:
Race 3 :8: Captain Boss (7-2) Has yet to carry his Irish form in Hong Kong after 14 races, is stretching out tonight to 1650 metres after mostly running sprint distances, trainer is 1 for 41 so far this year.

Race 5 :11: Travel Successor (3-1) Just missed out in his last while breaking from the 12 hole and going wide in the turn without any cover, was all out in the stretch only to miss out by a short head, looking that race took too much out of him after the 3 month break.


Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *727 (Winners: 1st & 6th, Second: 7th & 8th)
Race 5 :3: Golden Glory (10-1)

Race 006 (Winners: 4th & 5th, Second: 2nd)
Race 5 :12: Spicy Kaka (20-1)

Race *712 (Winners: 1st, 7th & 12th, Second: 2nd)
Race 6 :7: Lucky Time (17-1)

Race *796 (Winners: 4th & 8th, Second: 6th)
Race 8 :8: Fantastic Feeling (6-1)


In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 2 :5: Namjong Plus (2-1)
Race 3 :7: Wah May Baby (14-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 3 :7: Wah May Baby (14-1)
Race 7 :8: Super Chic (9-1)

Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 7 :1: Packing Dragon (6-1)
Race 7 :2: Sichuan Dar (21-1)
Race 7 :9: Pretty Bauhinia (17-1)

Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 8 :4: Eighty Eighty (9-2)

Class specialists running tonight:
None

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 3 :1: Electric Lightning (6-1) Settled right behind the leaders soon after the break, but after 400 metres the widest of the frontrunners was taken back out of the fight forcing Teetan take him back losing as least a length of positioning. In the turn just before the stretch Poon on Let Us Win moved to the outside and herded Teetan in behind the front pack, was forced to take up at the 350 metre mark in the stretch while full of run, finally when he found room to run he was blocked AGAIN by Poon he finished evenly and galloped out well.

Race 5 :5: Clear Choice (7-1) Was bumped sideways at the start when two gates under him Pearl Warm Warm took a left turn out of the gate, was able to settle mid-pack on the backstretch. At the top of the stretch was bumped again when the eventual winner Mickey Rich shied from the stick and drifted in on him, then was forced up at the 150 metre mark when in tight between two runners, was not asked afterwards.

Race 8 :3: Jumbo Happiness (7-2) Was bet down to 2.9-1 after being away from the races for 5 months, was taken up slightly after the start when the winner Eagle who broke on the rail came out in front of him. He then raced mid-pack on the backside, got in tight in the turn while racing on the rail when Harbour Alert also had to take up a little, finished out very well in the stretch only to miss by less than a length.

Past watch list runners running tonight:
Race 4 :9: Fire And Gold (7-1)
Race 6 :4: Starlight (5-1)

Key Plays:
Race 3 :1: Electric Lightning (6-1)
Race 6 :4: Starlight (5-1)
Race 8 :3: Jumbo Happiness (7-2)

Longshots:
Race 2 :2: Cheerful Star (19-1)

HONG KONG – HAPPY VALLEY WED 10/3/18
 

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I wanted to stop by and post some pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There will be 8 races at Happy Valley ALL on the Turf: (from top to bottom) -
(1)-Class2, (3)-Class3, (3)-Class4 & (1)-Class5

Post Time Race #1 – 7:15 AM WED EST

Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8

TVG is offering live video for all these races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local

I’ve already taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1 - 1650M C5 (8.25F)T…...7-9-6 W/ 3-2-4 ….….7:15 AM EST –

R#2 - 1800M C3 (9F)T….......5-7-6 W/ 3-8 ….....…7:45 AM EST –

R#3 - 1650M C4 (8.25F)T.....1-2-9 W/ 8-6 ..........8:15 AM EST -

R#4 - 1200M C4 (6F)T….....…1-9-4 W/ 2-10-3 …....8:45 AM EST –

R#5 - 1200M C4 (6F)T.…......11-6-3 W/ 2-12 ….......9:15 AM EST –

R#6 - 1200M C3 (6F)T…......8-12-5 W/ 2-11-10 ……9:45 AM EST –

R#7 – 1800M C2 (9F)T…......5-1-7 W/ 10-6-3 ......10:15 AM EST –

R#8 - 1200M C3 (6F)T…......3-1-4 W/ 8-10 ……....10:50 AM EST –

Hong Kong at Sha Tin. October 7, 2018 9th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 80 Degrees Partly Cloudy 0% chance of rain Wind: E 5 to 10mph.

Post time: 1am ET, 10pm PT. Rail: Course “B+2”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181007_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 2 :6: Quick Return (9-5) Winless after 9 tries at this class level and 10 times on the dirt, looks to need pace to run at in a pace less race.

Horses coming out of key races running today (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 006 (Winners: 4th & 5th, Second: 2nd)
Race 6 :7: Gorgeous Again (35-1)

Race *751 (Winners: 5th, 8th & 9th)
Race 10 :12: Harmony Hero (9-2)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 2 :9: Good Fit (8-1)
Race 3 :6: Styling City (7-5)
Race 7 :5: Golden Dash (2-1)
Race 9 :1: King Genki (6-5)
Race 10 :4: Morethanlucky (3-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running today:
Race 6 :3: Pakistan Friend (4-5)
Race 10 :4: Morethanlucky (3-1)


Horses for courses running today:
Race 7 :3: Goko (11-1)
Race 10 :5: Time To Celebrate (15-1)

Distance specialists running today:
None

Class specialists running today:
None

Last race watch list horses running today:
Race 9 :1: King Genki (6-5) Drew the 12 gate in his second out of the season while dropping down to Class 3 after strictly running in Class 2 events for the last two years. Settled mid-pack while going into the turn 4 wide without any cover all the while the eventual winner with the low weight of 112 was on the lead, finished out strongly while gaining on the winner nearing the wire and galloped out well.

Race 10 :8: Winning Faith (6-1) After being away for a couple months due to the end of the season was bet down to 3-1 as the co-favourite while drawing the rail. Broke about a length slow, had to slightly take up in the turn when the field started to back up right before the entrance to the stretch, then in the stretch lacked running room and was never able to really stretch his legs.

Past watch list runners running today:
None

Key Plays:
Race 9 :1: King Genki (6-5)
Race 10 :8: Winning Faith (6-1)

Longshots:
Race 3 :4: Wonderful Journey (18-1)
Race 6 :1: Sichuan Boss (10-1)

Key Plays:
Race 9 :1: King Genki (6-5)
Race 10 :10: Winning Faith (6-1)

HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN 10/7/18
 

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I wanted to stop by and post a few pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There will 10 races at Sha Tin with 8 on the Turf and 2 on the dirt: (from top to bottom) -
(1)-Class2, (3)-Class3, (5)-Class4 & (1)-Class5

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM SUN EST

Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8

TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local

I’ve already taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1 - 1800M C5 (9F)T……... 2-5-3 W/7-12-8 ….….1:00 AM EST –

R#2 - 1650M C4 (8.25F)D…. 6-5-9 W/ 10-4-1 …..…1:30 AM EST –

R#3 - 1000M C3 (5F)T….......8-6-9 W/ 2-5 .......2:00 AM EST -

R#4 - 1400M C4 (7F)T…..…..8-4-3 W/ 14-7-11 …....2:30 AM EST –

R#5 - 1400M C4 (7F)T.…...…5-10-7 W/ 3-2-8 …....3:00 AM EST –

R#6 - 1600M C4 (8F)T….…...3-6-8 W/ 4-11-5 ……3:35 AM EST –

R#7 – 1200M C3 (6F)T……....2-5-1 W/ 7-8 ......4:05 AM EST –

R#8 - 1200M C4 (6F)T…….…1-4-12 W/ 10-5-3 ………4:35 AM EST –

R#9 - 1650M C3 (8.25F)D.…2-1-7 W/ 8-10-9 ….….5:15 AM EST –

R#10 - 1400M C2 (7F)T........12-4-6 W/ 8-2-11 …….5:45 AM EST –

In HK Racing, the saddlecloth numbers do not necessarily correspond to the post position, correct...? What explains this rationale over how we do it in the states...?

Numbers are assigned by the handicap, higher the rating, higher the weight carried. The highest weight (minus the allowance for a bug) in the race is #1 and so on. They use a computer to pick gate positions.

Hong Kong at Happy Valley. October 10, 2018 10th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 71 Degrees Cloudy 20% of rain Wind: NE 10 to 15mph.

Post time: 6.15am ET, 3.15 am PT. Rail: Course “B”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181010_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 6 :8: Double Valentine (5-2) Has trouble putting two races together and after a good second behind Sparking Dragon who had a perfect trip, going to play that he doesn’t get his second win in Hong Kong on his 20th try.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *740 (Winners: 1st & 8th, Second: 5th)
Race 1 :1: King Of Mongolia (7-1)

Race *712 (Winners: 1st, 7th & 12th, Second: 2nd)
Race 8 :12: Planet Star (9-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 1 :7: Ishvara (7-1)
Race 5 :1: Flying Monkey (24-1)
Race 6 :2: Fairy Twins (6-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 5 :8: Blitzing (6-1)

Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 7 :6: Keep Moving (5-1)
Race 8 :1: Don’t Miss (5-1)

Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 6 :2: Fairy Twins (6-1)
Race 7 :6: Keep Moving (5-1)
Race 8 :1: Don’t Miss (5-1)


Class specialists running tonight:
Race 4 :2: Mr Right (3-1)


Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 1 :10: Po Ching Treasure (9-2) Two races back went off as the favourite at Sha Tin going 9 furlongs but was unfortunate to catch a yielding track and finished up the track without any pressure from Ho. Was bet down to 6-1 in his debut for the new racing season going a mile at Sha Tin, sat right behind the duel while racing on the rail, then in the stretch when the rest of the field were making their stretch moves he was still caught behind the two front runners without no exit sign in sight, by the time there was room the race was all but over. Was wrapped up for the final 100 metres and galloped out well.

Race 5 :9: Nice Kick (17-1) In his first try at the city track was bet down to 4-1 after the season break and coming off the Vet’s list the stable must have thought they had fixed the problem. Was unable to find his way to the rail heading into the short turn soon after the start and raced mid-pack without any cover on the backside, then four wide in the turn and finished evenly in the stretch while not being pushed for the last 150 metres.

Past watch list runners running tonight:
None

Key Plays:
Race 6 :2: Fairy Twins (6-1)
Race 8 :3: Mongolian Legend (18-1)


Longshots:
Race 3 :6: Speedy Wally (12-1)
Race 4 :4: Roman Odyssey (23-1)
Race 5 :9: Nice Kick (17-1)

HONG KONG – HAPPY VALLEY WED 10/10/18
 

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I wanted to stop by and post a few pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There will 8 races at Happy Valley ALL on the Turf: (from top to bottom) -
(1)-Class2, (2)-Class3, (4)-Class4 & (1)-Class5

Post Time Race #1 – 7:15 AM WED EST

Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8

TVG is offering live video for all these races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local

I’ve already taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1 - 1800M C4 (9F)T….....4-3-1 W/ 9-6-2 ….….7:15 AM EST –

R#2 - 1200M C5 (6F)T…......7-1-5 W/ 3-10-4 …..…7:45 AM EST –

R#3 - 1650M C4 (8.25F)T.…3-9-4 W/ 5-1-8 .......8:15 AM EST -

R#4 - 1000M C4 (5F)T……..2-5-12 W/ 1-3-6 …....8:45 AM EST –

R#5 - 1200M C4 (6F)T..……2-12-8 W/ 5-10-4 …....9:15 AM EST –

R#6 - 1200M C3 (6F)T…...…8-5-2 W/ 10-3-12 ……9:45 AM EST –

R#7 – 1000M C2 (5F)T….….3-7-6 W/ 4-9-5 ......10:15 AM EST –

R#8 - 1650M C3 (8.25F)T….9-1-4 W/ 7-12-11 ……10:50 AM EST –

10/10 R2 # :7:

#:7: W$7.60 P$4.80 Deadheat with the :12:

10/10 R3 # :1:

Hong Kong at Sha Tin. October 13, 2018 11th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 80 Degrees Partly Cloudy 0% of Rain Wind: ENE 10 to 15mph.

Post time: 1am ET, 10pm PT. Rail: Course “C”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181013_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourites on the card:
Race 3 :9: Richcity Fortune (5-2) In his first race after the break drew in with the light weight of 107 pounds and the bug-boy had to use every advantage he had while getting to his bottom of him after going wide in the turn and the aid of a closing bias, looking for the big bad bounce monster to show his face here.

Race 8 :8: Circuit Number Two (5-2) In his first race after being away for a couple months was in a dogfight the entire trip while carrying the maximum weight of 133 pounds, now is up in class and drew a tough Class 2 race with some veteran runners who are just as fast as he is.

Horses coming out of key races running today (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 006 (Winners: 4th & 5th, Second: 2nd)
Race 3 :4: Glittering Armour (12-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 5 :2: Energetic Class (9-1)
Race 6 :5: Regency Darling (23-1)
Race 7 :1: Encore Boy (11-1)
Race 8 :6: Victory Boys (17-1)
Race 8 :8: Circuit Number Two (5-2)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running today:
Race 1 :9: Quadruple Double (9-5)
Race 2 :2: New Elegance (7-2)
Race 5 :1: Have Fun Together (7-5)
Race 6 :7: Money Jewellery (even)
Race 7 :6: Raging Blizkrieg (2-1)
Race 8 :6: Victory Boys (17-1)
Race 8 :8: Circuit Number Two (5-2)
Race 9 :6: Pick Number One (5-2)
Race 10 :3: Comfort Life (14-1)


Horses for courses running today:
Race 9 :6: Pick Number One (5-2)
Race 9 :7: Ugly Warrior (9-2)
Race 10 :11: Relentless Me (4-1)

Distance specialists running today:
Race 9 :6: Pick Number One (5-2)
Race 9 :7: Ugly Warrior (9-2)

Class specialists running today:
None

Last race watch list horses running today:
Race 3 :1: Adonis (9-2) At the start he did his best Trigger imitation when the gates opened standing straight up on his 2 hind legs losing at least three lengths to the field. Raced on the rail in the turn all the while tugging at So to run but was trapped in with nowhere to go, moved off the rail to the 5 path in the stretch but was blocked again when Fortunate Runner drifted out into his path, closed well on the leaders late while drifting in, today he’s taking a drop in Class and back in at 6 furlongs his preferred distance.

Race 6 :7: Money Jewellery (even) Was unfortunate to draw the 12 gate in a 13 horse race with the short run to the turn going 1200 metres, Clipperton took a hold of him straight out of the gate to save as much ground as possible. Had to drift out to the middle of the track in the stretch to find running room and was gaining on the top two at the wire. Gets the services of top rider Zac Purton and a much better draw today, he will be very short in the odds.

Race 10 :3: Comfort Life (14-1) After winning on June 8 he ran into all kinds of trouble in his next out making that race a total throw out, then in his first race of the season was bet down to 9-2 as the slight favourite while drawing the 11 hole. He broke well enough and sat right off the leaders down the backside, then right before the turn Callan asked him to go forward to the lead then in the turn was taken back off of it, (confusing) switched off his proper lead foot in the stretch when he became to tire and couldn’t sustain the run to the wire. Gets Purton today but drew the 14 gate which will help in the odds.


Past watch list runners running today:
Race 5 :1: Have Fun Together (7-5)
Race 5 :5: Clear Choice (26-1)


Key Plays:
Race 3 :1: Adonis (9-2)
Race 10 :3: Comfort Life (14-1)

Longshots:
Race 1 :2: Bella Baby (29-1)
Race 4 :7: Kirov (14-1)
Race 5 :5: Clear Choice (26-1)
Race 7 :1: Encore Boy (11-1)
Race 8 :6: Victory Boys (17-1)

HONG KONG - SHA TIN SAT 10/13/18
 

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I wanted to stop by and post a few pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There will 10 races at Sha Tin with 7 on the Turf and 3 on the dirt: (from top to bottom) -
(2)-Class2, (3)-Class3, (4)-Class4 & (1)-Class5

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM SAT EST

Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8

TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local

I’ve already taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1 - 1000M C4R (5F)T…….. 4-9-12 W/3-8-6 ….….1:00 AM EST –

R#2 - 1800M C3 (9F)T……... 6-2-3 W/ 1-5 …..…1:30 AM EST –

R#3 - 1200M C5 (6F)T……....9-1-2 W/ 3-10-8 .......2:00 AM EST -

R#4 - 1200M C4 (6F)D….…..3-2-1 W/ 9-12-5 …....2:30 AM EST –

R#5 - 1400M C4 (7F)T.…..…1-7-11 W/ 10-2-9 …....3:00 AM EST –

R#6 - 1200M C4 (6F)T….…..6-7-11 W/ 4-8-3 ……3:35 AM EST –

R#7 – 1200M C3 (6F)D……...3-6-1 W/ 7-2-5 ......4:05 AM EST –

R#8 - 1600M C2 (8F)T….……3-2-8 W/ 11-12-5 ………4:35 AM EST –

R#9 - 1200M C2 (6F)D.….….2-3-7 W/ 10-1-6 ….….5:10 AM EST –

R#10 - 1400M C3 (7F)T......13-4-2W/ 11-12-7 …….5:45 AM EST –

Hong Kong at Happy Valley. October 18, 2018 12 th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 79 Degrees 40% of showers Wind: ENE 10 to 20 mph.

Post time: 6.15am ET, 3.15 am PT. Rail: Course “C”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181018_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 3 :4: Captain Boss (5-2) Is still winless after 15 races in Hong Kong and comes from a 1 for 61 barn in the 2018-2019 season so far, picks up 9 pounds with the addition of Purton from the 10 pound bug-boy.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *712 (Winners: 1st, 7th & 12th, Second: 2nd & 5th)
Race 7 :8: Top Laurels (17-1)

Race *796 (Winners: 2nd, 4th & 8th, Second: 6th)
Race 8 :2: Buoyant Boy (15-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 4 :11: Wealthy Fortune (11-1)
Race 5 :2: King’s Man (9-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 1 :3: Pakistan Baby (5-1)
Race 4 :1: Penzance (5-1)
Race 7 :1: Red Warrior (5-2)
Race 8 :8: Country Star (3-5)

Horses for courses running tonight:
None

Distance specialists running tonight:
None

Class specialists running tonight:
None


Last race watch list horses running tonight:
None


Past watch list runners running tonight:
None


Key Plays:
Race 2 :5: Split Of A Second (3-1)
Race 6 :7: Super Wise (9-2)
Race 8 :8: Country Star (3-5)


Longshots:
Race 4 :2: Top Ace (10-1)
Race 7 :4: Super Form (12-1)

Hong Kong is currently 12 hours offset from North America Eastern Time, so their normal 1st post for mid-week Happy Valley racing of 7:15pm (19:15) translates to 7:15 am ET and 4:15 am PT (and not 6:15am ET, just FYI :)).

When we move to Daylight savings time in 2+ weeks, adjust that by 1 hour.

Cheers, and good luck, good skill everyone!

Ted

Hong Kong at Sha Tin. October 21, 2018 13th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 79 Degrees Partly Cloudy 10% of rain Wind: E 10 to 20mph.

Post time: 1am ET, 10pm PT. Rail: Course “A”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181021_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourites on the card:
None

Horses coming out of key races running today (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 006 (Winners: 4th & 5th, Second: 2nd)
Race :2: Cheerful Boys (11-1)

Race 025 (Winners: 2nd & 7th, Second: 5th)
Race 2 :3: Smart Charade (7-1)

Race 050 (Winners: 1st & 3rd, Second: 5th)
Race 3 1 Everbrave (37-1)

Race *781 (Winners: 2nd & 5th, Second: 3rd & 4th)
Race 4 :5: Glorious Forever (3-2)

Race 041 (Winners: 3rd, 4th & 5th, Second: 11th)
Race 5 :8: Bellagio (7-1)
Race 5 :11: Presidentparamount (26-1)

Race 032 (Winners: 5th & 8th, Second: 2nd, 3rd, 6th & 7th)
Race 9 :14: Ambitious Heart (32-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 1 :2: King Of Mongolia (19-1)
Race 7 :1: Ivictory (4-5)
Race 7 :6: Hot King Prawn (4-1)
Race 8 :5: Werther (17-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running today:
Race 2 :6: Flying Lover (19-1)
Race 3 :3: Complacency (9-5)
Race 5 :1: Happy Sebring (3-1)
Race 7 :1: Ivictory (4-5)
Race 7 :5: Pingwu Spark (15-1)
Race 8 :1: Beauty Generation (6-5)
Race 8 :2: Pakistan Star (7-2)
Race 8 :3: Time Warp (26-1)
Race 9 :5: Key Witness (8-1)
Race 10 :2: Simply Brilliant (7-2)

Horses for courses running today:
Race 7 :1: Ivictory (4-5)
Race 7 :2: Mr Stunning (9-2)
Race 7 :3: Fifty Fifty (19-1)
Race 7 :5: Pingwu Spark (15-1)
Race 7 :6: Hot King Prawn (4-1)
Race 8 :1: Beauty Generation (6-5)
Race 8 :2: Pakistan Star (7-2)
Race 8 :5: Werther (17-1)
Race 8 :12: Nothilikemore (19-1)
Race 10 :2: Simply Brilliant (7-2)

Distance specialists running today:
Race 4 :1: Prawn Baba (38-1)
Race 7 :1: Ivictory (4-5)
Race 7 :2: Mr Stunning (9-2)
Race 8 :1: Beauty Generation (6-5)
Race 8 :4: Seasons Bloom (33-1)
Race 9 :1: Handsome Bo Bo (4-1)

Class specialists running today:
Race 7 :2: Mr Stunning (9-2)

Last race watch list horses running today:
Race 1 :1: Good Days (3-1) Bumped at the start, raced at back down the backside and was suited by the fast tempo, blocked most straight and was not properly tested afterwards. Keeps Purton in a marathon event which he has won at before and draws a favourable post.

Race 6 :3: Famous Warrior (2-1) Urged to take up racing in the box-seat, sat 1-3/4L off the leader, pushed winner all the way and just missed by a short-head distanced the third place runner #11 Bigwood.

Race 6 :11: Bigwood (9-2) Raced towards the rear, 9-1/2L behind 2 wide, held up until 250M, finished off strongly inside final 150M, he galloped out very strongly. Teetan was questioned after the race, Purton has been given the ride for today.

Race 9 :3: Jing Jing Win (8-1) Travelled strongly behind leaders, driven to the lead 200M, outsprinted by winner who had a serious weight advantage inside final 100M.

Past watch list runners running today:
Race 1 :7: Po Ching Treasure (18-1)
Race 8 :7: Beauty Only (10-1)

Key Plays:
Race 1 :1: Good Days (3-1)
Race 6 :3: Famous Warrior (2-1)
Race 9 :3: Jing Jing Win (8-1)

Longshots:
Race 4 :2: Ruthven (19-1)
Race 8 :7: Beauty Only (10-1)
Race 10 :4: Time To Celebrate (18-1)

HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN - 10/21/18
 

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value.
(It’s the best card so far for the current meet)
There are 10 races at Sha Tin with all on Turf: [B] (from top Class to bottom) -
(2)-Stake-G2, (2)-Class-2, (2)-Class-3, (4)-Class-4

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM SUN EST

Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8

TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!


R#1 - 2000M C4 (10F)T…….. 1-9-6 W/5-4-3 ….….1:00 AM EST –

R#2 - 1600M C4 (8F)T……... 1-5-7 W/ 3-10-4 …..…1:30 AM EST –

R#3 - 1200M C4 (6F)T……....3-10-5 W/ 14-7-11 .......2:00 AM EST -

R#4 - 1800M C2 (9F)T…...…..5-4-6 W/ 2-1-10 …....2:35 AM EST –

R#5 - 1400M C4 (7F)T.…....…6-4-1W/ 5-2-13 …....3:05 AM EST –

R#6 - 1600M C3 (8F)T…...…..3-4-13 W/ 7-11-1 ……3:40 AM EST –

R#7 – 1200M G2 (6F)T……...1-2-6 W/ 4-7 ......4:10 AM EST –

R#8 - 1600M G2 (8F)T…..……1-6-4 W/ 14-10-12 ………4:40 AM EST –

R#9 - 1200M C3 (6F)T.…..….1-3-4 W/ 8-9-5 ….….5:15 AM EST –

R#10 - 1400M C2 (7F)T.......2-8-4 W/ 6-3-5 …….5:50 AM EST –

The nite is yung but the picks are amazing as ever.