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-   -   $0.50 Black Gold 5 (Races 9-13) (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=151123)

Robert Fischer 03-21-2019 01:56 PM

$0.50 Black Gold 5 (Races 9-13)
 

Robert Fischer 03-21-2019 05:10 PM

5 Course Meal
 

jay68802 03-22-2019 02:18 AM

The Horses to beat.

Race #10: Two to beat in this one. Lone Sailor and Core Beliefs.

Race #11: Silver Dust

Race #12: Has the most likely single, Serenge Tienpress.

Race #13: War of Will.

Robert Fischer 03-22-2019 11:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2443736)
The Horses to beat.

Race #10: Two to beat in this one. Lone Sailor and Core Beliefs.

Race #11: Silver Dust

Race #12: Has the most likely single, Serenge Tienpress.

Race #13: War of Will.

I agree, and thankfully I don't feel they are all a 'lock'. But don't forget Bricks and Mortar in the 11th.

That makes for a juicy, but not an easy sequence... Add Race #9 and I haven't accomplished much other than make myself hungry.
Narrowing down and organizing today.

jay68802 03-22-2019 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Robert Fischer (Post 2443855)
I agree, and thankfully I don't feel they are all a 'lock'. But don't forget Bricks and Mortar in the 11th.

That makes for a juicy, but not an easy sequence... Add Race #9 and I haven't accomplished much other than make myself hungry.
Narrowing down and organizing today.

I was lucky. When I was looking at your post, I had some of my World Famous Chicken Enchiladas.

Some price horses to consider in race #9:

:2: Risky Steps 20/1

:3: Treys Midnite Moon 20/1

:12: Roger Brown 12/1

:14: B B Special 15/1

The :1: and :9: being the horse's to beat.

Robert Fischer 03-22-2019 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2443879)
I was lucky. When I was looking at your post, I had some of my World Famous Chicken Enchiladas.

Some price horses to consider in race #9:

:2: Risky Steps 20/1

:3: Treys Midnite Moon 20/1

:12: Roger Brown 12/1

:14: B B Special 15/1

The :1: and :9: being the horse's to beat.

Chicken Enchiladas :ThmbUp::ThmbUp:


I see you mentioned six horses...
I'm still working on that race. Could be a spread, but hoping I like somebody.
Even if it's a spread/chaos race, that could be valuable(but expensive) if in fact it plays out to a price.

Robert Fischer 03-22-2019 04:00 PM

Mildly interesting note
 
Final Copy may actually be quick enough to contend for the lead...
https://i.imgur.com/60SZZgK.png

jay68802 03-23-2019 12:19 AM

1 Attachment(s)
How my computer sees race #11. Final Copy rates as a play, and the :4: and :5: also.:ThmbUp:

Robert Fischer 03-23-2019 11:03 AM

Top Opinion/Day-Maker for the day , while waiting on scratches for the BG-5!
 
RACE-10-NEW ORLEANS-H.

:10::3::11::4::2: :eek:

TOSS COMPLETELY?!= #8 Mr. Buff!, and #6 Silver Dust! ... These are huge opinions to play with confidence. TopSelection=#10 Copper Bullet! A-= #3SouperTapit , B= #11CoreBeliefs, and #4Noble Indy... Copper Bullet is the best --IF?--He has some position/momentum into the stretch...He's a little bit risky to rely completely on, and he should vie for favoritism with the TOSS-SilverDust... In a perferct world, CopperBullet wires, but he likes to track and can get shuffled back a little mid-race... ... #3Souper Tapit is good and did a ton of running in the Razoback helping his price today., #NobleIndy has been thriving lately and can play a part in the pace, he's never been more than a G2/3 type but can attend the pace and run a long way at a generous price. #2LoneSailor is only a B-/C and he will also take bad money.

Robert Fischer 03-23-2019 11:06 AM

to anybody following along, I'm not selling selections, - I'm just showing off today. :cool::cool:

Robert Fischer 03-23-2019 11:41 AM

The Black Gold Pick-5
 
Gameplan
1. Single Serengeti Empress in the Oaks... if she loses, I lose... It's horse racing, and there are no guarantees, but you have to make a stand and be willing to lose your wagers.
2. Race9 Coasta Sprint looks like a Spread/Chaos
3. Strong Opinions in the 10th

ticket1=caveman=3,5,6,7,9,10,11,12,13,16/2,3,4,10,11/2,7,8/2/3,6,8,10
0.50
300.00

ticket2=single 'Bricks in Muniz and no Limonite in LAD' =2 3,5,6,7,9,10,11,12,13,16/2,3,4,10,11/7/2/6,8,10
0.50
75.00

ticket3=single 'Bricks in Muniz, AND onlyCopper Bullet/SouperTap in NO AND no Limonite in LAD' = 3,5,6,7,9,10,11,12,13,16/3,10/7/2/6,8,10
0.50
30.00

ticket4= only top threats = 6,7,9,10,11,12,13,16/3,10/7/2/6,8,10
$1
$48.00

TOTAL = $453 GOOD LUCK ... I will post results following the sequence.

Robert Fischer 03-23-2019 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2444063)
How my computer sees race #11. Final Copy rates as a play, and the :4: and :5: also.:ThmbUp:

They scratched #9Final Copy and the other possible lone speed #5 Grand Premio
...

either coincidence or they saw it too, and didn't want to cheapen a slow field...

this could help Bricks today... He could be right near the lead.

I think it hurts Synchrony and Bravo who rely on getting great setups inside.

We'll see...

jay68802 03-23-2019 12:02 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Really changes the race. Puts the :4: as a solid play, also brings the :6: at big odds into play.

Robert Fischer 03-23-2019 12:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2444154)
Really changes the race. Puts the :4: as a solid play, also brings the :6: at big odds into play.

scratched the :4: as well...

:6: would be a huge price. :ThmbUp:

jay68802 03-23-2019 12:22 PM

Couple tickets:

:3::9::12: / :3::5::8: / :4::6::7::8: / :3: / :2::3::6::7:

:2::9::12: / :3::5::8: / :3::7: / :3: / :2::5::6::7:


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