Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board


Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/index.php)
-   General Racing Discussion (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   Does Accelerate now win HOY over Justify? (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=148494)

bobphilo 11-04-2018 03:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GMB@BP (Post 2391573)
Its a mix really, the Clark, Stephen Foster, the Woodward, the Pegasus...all pretty good 9F events.

The west coast is the place where 10F races are more the top races.

10 furlongs is THE classic distance in the US, just as 12 furlongs is in Europe.
That's why the 2 most important races run in the US, the KY Derby and the BC Classic are at 10 furlongs.

bobphilo 11-04-2018 03:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GMB@BP (Post 2391513)
No I dont think it was automatic, for example I think Gun Runner, who's flat out dominating wins in brilliant times would have been a even stronger case.......Accelerate has not been as brilliant, think he got a 105 beyer today and 102 last time. Gun Runner went like 115-115.

Accelerate is not competing with Gun Runner for HOTY.

bobphilo 11-04-2018 04:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GMB@BP (Post 2391512)
The award started a year after his 3 year old season, would have been tough to win it. facts matter!

Yes facts matter. It was not called the Eclipse HOTY Award back then but the year when Omaha won the Triple Crown (1935), Discovery was considered the Horse of the Year. Just as Sir Barton is considered the 1st TC winner though it did not exist as such back then.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Americ...se_of_the_Year

bobphilo 11-04-2018 04:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cj (Post 2391523)

Even the most dyed in the wool figure maker knows that just the a figure does not represent the totality of a horse's performance. Accelerate pressed a hot pace that was a set up for closers while wide on both turns.

classhandicapper 11-04-2018 09:02 AM

As Triple Crown winners go, Justify wasn't one of the more impressive ones, but I wouldn't hold his speed figures against him too much.

1. A few of his races had fast paces that no doubt impacted his figure and helped bottom out some of the horses chasing him.

2. The figures for Triple Crown horses have been declining in recent years. There may be a few reasons for that, but I think the Beyer team made a logical case that the horses are so much more lightly raced and unseasoned now, they develop later. (Of course if that's true it argues that giving horses more races at 2 and 3 to develop them quicker might be a better strategy). Justify was VERY lightly raced and probably had a lot of improving to do (just like American Pharoah)

As older horses go, Accelerate had a monster year. He was 6 for 7 with 5 Grade 1s in some of the biggest races of the entire year. His only loss was a big effort against City of Light who is now also a BC Winner.

SA Handicap
SA Gold Cup
Pacific Classic
Awesome Again
Breeder's Cup Classic

I don't think this was the best crop of older horses, but it was still a huge year for him.

In most years Accelerate would be a no brainer for HOTY, but I think a Triple Crown winner almost has to get it.

zico20 11-04-2018 09:11 AM

I voted for Justify because I think they will give it to him for winning the TC. If I had a vote, it would be for Accelerate. He had the better year, and is the best horse to race this year.

pandy 11-04-2018 09:41 AM

My guess is that Justify will win it but Accelerate would get my vote. I don't care what the figure was for the Classic, Accelerate was wide throughout, won convincingly, and beat a much better field than anything Justify ever faced. Plus he ran big in all of his starts this year, all against top company.

metro 11-04-2018 10:03 AM

Give it to Accelerate, show the industry that racing, and dominating, as a 5 year old still matters.

Andy Asaro 11-04-2018 10:03 AM


GMB@BP 11-04-2018 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bobphilo (Post 2391586)
Accelerate is not competing with Gun Runner for HOTY.

thanks for the information

GMB@BP 11-04-2018 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by metro (Post 2391620)
Give it to Accelerate, show the industry that racing, and dominating, as a 5 year old still matters.

I do think there will be a certain percentage that use that as kind of a tie breaker.

Andy Asaro 11-04-2018 10:22 AM

If Justify doesn't get it a lot will have to do with Baffert who in many peoples opinion including mine believe he's the "Lance Armstrong" of Horse Racing.

Andy Asaro 11-04-2018 10:34 AM


linrom1 11-04-2018 11:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Andy Asaro (Post 2391629)
If Justify doesn't get it a lot will have to do with Baffert who in many peoples opinion including mine believe he's the "Lance Armstrong" of Horse Racing.

He's as shady as come. The way his horses freak and then run like cows is not normal. Another trainer like this is Jason Servis.

MadVindication 11-04-2018 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by metro (Post 2391620)
Give it to Accelerate, show the industry that racing, and dominating, as a 5 year old still matters.

That's a good point.

Well there's Pink Lloyd up in Canada. It still matters in Canada. Too bad Canada doesn't matter.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:54 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Which horse do you like most
Dornoch - 67.74%
42 Votes
Track Phantom - 32.26%
20 Votes
Total Votes: 62
This poll is closed.
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:54 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.