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-   Selections (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=4)
-   -   Long shot selections (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=143367)

atlasaxis 02-17-2018 09:27 AM
Long shot selections
 
Sat 021718
TUP6-8
SA7-7
SA10-5
HOU9-8
GP7-1
GP10-3
FG6-5

atlasaxis 02-18-2018 08:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2277884)
Sat 021718
TUP6-8
SA7-7 $26.20
SA10-5
HOU9-8
GP7-1. $17.20
GP10-3
FG6-5
7 plays; $14 invested; $43.40 returned; 2 winners

Sun 021818
GP1-3
TAM7-10
FG6-7
GP10-9

atlasaxis 02-18-2018 07:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2278438)
7 plays; $14 invested; $43.40 returned; 2 winners

Sun 021818
GP1-3
TAM7-10
FG6-7
GP10-9 scr
Today: 3 plays; $6 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 10 plays; $20 invested; $43.40 returned; 2 winners

Monday 021918
GP1 - 2
TUP4 - 8
FG7 - 11
TUP8 - 4

atlasaxis 02-19-2018 09:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2278913)

Monday 021918
GP1 - 2
TUP4 - 8
FG7 - 11
TUP8 - 4
Today: 4 plays; $8 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 14 plays; $28 invested; $43.40 returned; 2 winners

Tuesday 022018
HOU2 - 2
TUP2 - 3

Partsnut 02-20-2018 11:15 AM
Todays Best Value Bet Win/Place Selections
 
Todays Best Value Bet Win/Place Selections


I will bet these horses proportionately for Win/Place.
1 unit win and 2.5 units place.


PRX Race -1.....(#7)


PRX Race -8.....(#8)


MVR Race -7.....(#2)

atlasaxis 02-20-2018 09:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2279569)
Tuesday 022018
HOU2 - 2
TUP2 - 3
Today: 2 plays; $4 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 16 plays; $32 invested; $43.40 returned; 2 winners

Wednesday 022118
GP3 - 5
GP8 - 3
TAM5 -10
TAM7 -1
TAM9 - 5

atlasaxis 02-21-2018 08:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2280010)
Wednesday 022118
GP3 - 5
GP8 - 3
TAM5 -10
TAM7 -1
TAM9 - 5
Today: 5 plays; $10 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 21 plays; $42 invested; $43.40 returned; 2 winners

Thursday 022218
DED7 - 6
GP2 - 7
GP9 - 5
GP11 - 13

Partsnut 02-22-2018 07:39 AM
Possible Value Plays - Gulfstream Park 02-22-18
 
1 Attachment(s)
Possible Value Plays - Gulfstream Park 02-22-18

Partsnut 02-22-2018 08:37 AM
Possible Value Plays - Tampa Bay Park 02-22-18
 
1 Attachment(s)
Possible Value Plays - Tampa Bay Park 02-22-18

atlasaxis 02-23-2018 06:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2280399)
Thursday 022218
DED7 - 6
GP2 - 7
GP9 - 5 $15.80
GP11 - 13 scr
Today: 3 plays; $6 invested; $15.80 returned; 1 winner
To date: 24 plays; $48 invested; $59.20 returned; 3 winners

Friday 022318
DED2 - 3
FG5 - 3
GP4 - 2
GP7 - 1
GP9 - 3
GP10 - 5
LRL9 - 3
HOU6 - 4
HOU8 - 5
SA4 - 3
TAM3 - 6
TAM5 - 5
TAM7 - 7
TAM9 - 4

atlasaxis 02-24-2018 06:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2281106)
Friday 022318
DED2 - 3
FG5 - 3
GP4 - 2
GP7 - 1 scr
GP9 - 3 $22.40
GP10 - 5
LRL9 - 3
HOU6 - 4
HOU8 - 5
SA4 - 3
TAM3 - 6 $26.20
TAM5 - 5
TAM7 - 7 scr
TAM9 - 4

Today: 12 plays; $24 invested; $48.60 returned; 2 winners
To date: 36 plays; $72 invested; $107.80 returned; 3 winners

Saturday 022418
FG5 - 4
GP3 - 6
SUN2 - 1

atlasaxis 02-24-2018 08:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2281763)
Saturday 022418
FG5 - 4
GP3 - 6
SUN2 - 1

Today: 3 plays; $6 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 39 plays; $78 invested; $107.80 returned; 3 winners
Sunday 022518
FG4 - 1A
FG8 - 1A
GP12 - 2
SA7 - 6
TAM3 - 9

atlasaxis 02-25-2018 09:08 AM
To date: 39 plays; $78 invested; $107.80 returned; 5 winners

Sunday 022518
FG4 - 1A
FG8 - 1A
GP12 - 2
SA7 - 6
TAM3 - 9

atlasaxis 02-25-2018 08:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2282620)
Sunday 022518
FG4 - 1A
FG8 - 1A scr
GP12 - 2
SA7 - 6
TAM3 - 9

Today: 4 plays; $8 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 43 plays; $86 invested; $107.80 returned; 5 winners
Monday 022618
TUP1 - 4
TUP8 - 2

atlasaxis 02-26-2018 06:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2282973)
Monday 022618
TUP1 - 4
TUP8 - 2

Today: 2 plays; $4 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 47 plays; $94 invested; $107.80 returned; 5 winners
Tuesday 022718
Minimum 4-1+ at pt
HOU5 - 5
HOU8 - 5
TUP6 - 2

atlasaxis 02-27-2018 07:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2283267)
Tuesday 022718
Minimum 4-1+ at pt
HOU5 - 5
HOU8 - 5 np
TUP6 - 2
Today: 2 plays; $4 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 49 plays; $98 invested; $107.80 returned; 5 winners
Wednesday 022818
GP5 - 5
TUP2 - 4
TUP4 - 8

atlasaxis 02-28-2018 07:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2283716)
Wednesday 022818
GP5 - 5
TUP2 - 4 $10.80
TUP4 - 8 scr

Today: 2 plays; $4 invested; $10.80 returned; 1 winner
To date: 51 plays; $102 invested; $118.60 returned; 6 winners
Thursday 030118
FG8 - 1
GP1 - 5
GP5 - 3
GP11-13
SA5 - 8

atlasaxis 03-01-2018 07:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2284077)
Thursday 030118
FG8 - 1
GP1 - 5
GP5 - 3
GP11-13 scr
SA5 - 8 scr

Today: 3 plays; $6 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 54 plays; $108 invested; $118.60 returned; 6 winners
Friday 030218
AQU3 - 3
GP8 - 7
OP2 - 7
HOU3 - 4
TP4 - 5
TP6 - 6

atlasaxis 03-02-2018 09:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2284537)
Friday 030218
AQU3 - 3 scr
GP8 - 7
OP2 - 7
HOU3 - 4
TP4 - 5
TP6 - 6

Today: 5 plays; $10 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 59 plays; $118 invested; $118.60 returned; 6 winners
Saturday 030318
GG9 - 2
HOU3 - 6
SA4 - 5
TAM8 - 8
TUP5 - 5

atlasaxis 03-04-2018 08:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2285179)
Saturday 030318
GG9 - 2
HOU3 - 6
SA4 - 5
TAM8 - 8
TUP5 - 5

Today: 5 plays; $10 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 64 plays; $128 invested; $118.60 returned; 6 winners
Sunday 030418
LRL1 - 5
SA6 - 5
SUN8 - 2
TAM6 - 5

atlasaxis 03-04-2018 09:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2285943)
Sunday 030418
LRL1 - 5
SA6 - 5
SUN8 - 2
TAM6 - 5

Today: 4 plays; $8 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 68 plays; $136 invested; $118.60 returned; 6 winners
Monday 030518
LRL1 - 7
LRL2 - 3
TUP3 - 3
TUP4 - 4
PRX9 - 7

atlasaxis 03-05-2018 08:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2286336)
Monday 030518
LRL1 - 7
LRL2 - 3
TUP3 - 3
TUP4 - 4
PRX9 - 7

Today: 5 plays; $10 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 73 plays; $146 invested; $118.60 returned; 6 winners
Tuesday 030618
HOU3 - 3, 9
HOU5 - 2, 5
HOU7 - 6
MVR3 - 6

atlasaxis 03-06-2018 08:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2286591)
Tuesday 030618
HOU3 - 3, 9
HOU5 - 2, 5
HOU7 - 6
MVR3 - 6

Today: 6 plays; $12 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 79 plays; $158 invested; $118.60 returned; 6 winners
Wednesday 030718
GP4 - 1
GP5 - 5
GP7 - 3
HOU1 - 2
HOU3 - 9
TUP3 - 3
TUP6 - 3

atlasaxis 03-08-2018 06:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2286919)
Wednesday 030718
GP4 - 1 $13.80
GP5 - 5
GP7 - 3
HOU1 - 2
HOU3 - 9
TUP3 - 3
TUP6 - 3

Today: 7 plays; $14 invested; $13.80 returned; 1 winner
To date: 86 plays; $172 invested; $132.40 returned; 7 winners
Thursday 030818
FG6 - 4
FG8 - 1
SA5 - 5

lamboguy 03-08-2018 08:00 AM
please keep this up, i like watching your thread because it seems like a very disciplined approach. i wish you the best as well.

the only negative i have is that your picks are coming way before you know what the track conditions are like and how certain horses will have positives and negatives running on the surface in a particular day.

atlasaxis 03-08-2018 08:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy (Post 2287454)
please keep this up, i like watching your thread because it seems like a very disciplined approach. i wish you the best as well.

the only negative i have is that your picks are coming way before you know what the track conditions are like and how certain horses will have positives and negatives running on the surface in a particular day.
Thanks Lambo, I am looking at mainly turf races so I plan to run this at least through the fall.

atlasaxis 03-08-2018 08:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2287447)
Thursday 030818
FG6 - 4 scr
FG8 - 1
SA5 - 5 scr

Today: 1 plays; $2 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 87 plays; $174 invested; $132.40 returned; 7 winners
Friday 030918
GP8 - 1
TAM8 - 7
TAM10 - 9

atlasaxis 03-09-2018 10:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2287729)
Friday 030918
GP8 - 1
TAM8 - 7
TAM10 - 9

Today: 3 plays; $6 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 90 plays; $180 invested; $132.40 returned; 7 winners
Saturday 031018
FG7 - 5
GP5 - 3
GP13 - 5
HOU3 - 6
SA3 - 7
SA11 - 8
TAM5 - 6
TAM10 - 7

atlasaxis 03-11-2018 08:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2288241)
Saturday 031018
FG7 - 5
GP5 - 3
GP13 - 5
HOU3 - 6
SA3 - 7
SA11 - 8
TAM5 - 6
TAM10 - 7

Today: 8 plays; $16 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 98 plays; $196 invested; $132.40 returned; 7 winners
Sunday 031118
FG3 - 7
GP8 - 12
SA3 - 3
SA6 - 1

atlasaxis 03-11-2018 06:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2288794)
Sunday 031118
FG3 - 7
GP8 - 12
SA3 - 3
SA6 - 1 $36.20

Today: 4 plays; $8 invested; $36.20 returned; 1 winner
To date: 102 plays; $204 invested; $168.60 returned; 8 winners
Monday 031218
no plays

atlasaxis 03-12-2018 06:53 PM
Tuesday 031318
Hou5 - 5

atlasaxis 03-13-2018 08:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2289443)
Tuesday 031318
Hou5 - 5

Today: 1 play; $2 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 103 plays; $206 invested; $168.60 returned; 8 winners
Wednesday 031418
GP10 - 7
GP11 - 2

atlasaxis 03-14-2018 08:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2289834)
Wednesday 031418
GP10 - 7 scr
GP11 - 2

Today: 1 play; $2 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 104 plays; $208 invested; $168.60 returned; 8 winners
Thursday 031518
FG9 - 9
GP8 - 5

atlasaxis 03-15-2018 08:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2290190)
Thursday 031518
FG9 - 9
GP8 - 5

Today: 2 plays; $4 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 106 plays; $212 invested; $168.60 returned; 8 winners
Friday 031618
GP7 - 3

atlasaxis 03-16-2018 08:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2290575)
Friday 031618
GP7 - 3 UGH, close 2nd @ 24-1; trend has to reverse soon!

Today: 1 play; $2 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 107 plays; $214 invested; $168.60 returned; 8 winners
Saturday 031718
GP5 - 6
GP9 - 7
GP12 - 1
GP13 - 9
SA3 - 3
TAM6 - 5
TAM10 - 13
TUP5 - 3
TUP7 - 2

atlasaxis 03-18-2018 09:51 AM
Sunday 3/18
FG4-6
GP11-2
TAM8-13

atlasaxis 03-20-2018 06:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2290932)
Saturday 031718
GP5 - 6
GP9 - 7
GP12 - 1
GP13 - 9
SA3 - 3
TAM6 - 5
TAM10 - 13
TUP5 - 3
TUP7 - 2
Today: 9 plays; $18 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 116 plays; $232 invested; $168.60 returned; 8 winners

atlasaxis 03-20-2018 06:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlasaxis (Post 2291553)
Sunday 3/18
FG4-6
GP11-2
TAM8-13

Today: 3 plays; $6 invested; $0 returned; 0 winners
To date: 119 plays; $238 invested; $168.60 returned; 8 winners
Monday 3/19
No plays

Tuesday 3/20
No plays

Partsnut 03-20-2018 10:02 AM
Hi Tom,

When playing Longshots it is conceivable for you to have 50 runouts in a row.
I hope your bankroll and mindset can withstand the abuse.
You have to know which races to play and which ones to avoid.
I have been working on longshot play for the last year and backtested many races against the results charts using a multitude of methods and software and finally landed on something that I believe may be the answer.
Being as we are longtime friends please feel free to contact me on Messenger.:bang:I

atlasaxis 03-20-2018 08:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Partsnut (Post 2292123)
Hi Tom,

When playing Longshots it is conceivable for you to have 50 runouts in a row.
I hope your bankroll and mindset can withstand the abuse.
You have to know which races to play and which ones to avoid.
I have been working on longshot play for the last year and backtested many races against the results charts using a multitude of methods and software and finally landed on something that I believe may be the answer.
Being as we are longtime friends please feel free to contact me on Messenger.:bang:I
Thanks Bill. :ThmbUp:


Wednesday 3/21
FG8 - 10
GP8 - 6
GP10 - 10
TAM3 - 13


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