Parx r3

$1 Double :4: :7: w/ :5:


(+5)

Parx r5

$2 Win :7:

(+3)

qualifying races
 

Tuesday

Parx r7 50k

Parx r7
 

when you only have one qualifier, I guess that maker her the RACE O' THE DAY. :headbanger:

F&M OC40n3x $50kpurse 1m70yds

:1: PLEASANT MINE
:2: SERIOUS HAPPINESS
:3: TRACE OF GRACE
:4: LINE OF BEST FIT
:5: FLATTER ME ZANJA
:6: LA INESPERADA

ACT I: "the 5/16 race"
:1::4::5: exit the 5/16 race at this class.
Subtle dynamics. :4: LINE OF BEST FIT Fired off to a strong start wide, as did :1: PLEASANT MINE while very wide.
Meanwhile, Toledo, and Pennington on :5: FLATTER ME ZANJA, rode intelligent races saving ground and horse for the late run.
:4: LINE OF BEST FIT briefly won the speed duel inside her rival, and then took on Toledo's winning filly for a few strides, before flattening out and running evenly with :1: PLEASANT MINE.
:5: FLATTER ME ZANJA capitalized and came up to take 2nd while showing decent energy and fundamentals, although lugging-out a bit.

Subtle, but it appears that :1: PLEASANT MINE and :4: LINE OF BEST FIT were probably best out of that race.


ACT II: "Gary Sciacca ships in the :6:"
:6: LA INESPERADA has a history of flattening out. Claimed 2 back from Rudy/Dubb for $32K. Last race hounded a reasonably live Linda Rice filly Game Girl going a mile on the turf. Her chart looks better than her replay, as Game Girl briefly put her away, while :6: faded, and was then persevered more than Game Girl. She adds some additional quality to the pace. Tempting to consider as a price. She doesn't have as much of a class edge as some other NY -> Philly shippers.

ACT III: pace projecter
(benefits Pennington and the :5:)
:2:..............:1::4:
.........:5:......:3:
................:6:


Conclusion: Race Flow will ultimately be the strongest model in this race. :5: should stalk and pounce, with :4:(likeliest) or :1:(next likeliest) holding for Place, after winning the race-within-the-race vs the other early speeds.

Not exactly a dream value scenario. :1: or :6: are the two that you hope to use, to inject some value. They just don't seem to fit.
I guess the :5: winning late here could look visually impressive enough, that it will create value by betting against the :5: next out. Hopefully this is not the race where she finishes out of the exacta after a dull bid behind the horses knocking heads on the pace.

:4: is cold in pick3's and exactas, as well as the early WPS

:1: is taking money

Parx r7

$1 ex box :1::5:

(+1)

:coffee: 4 wins and pays $15
Wonder why the 4 was ice cold on the board?? Looked like the best horse in the race, while being a likely race flow victim.

That contested pace never materialized, and the 5 chose today to throw in the dull effort.

Not only do I feel bad that I didn't bet my opinion at a price, I don't get to bet against the 5 next time. :D

$1 exacta :3::4: over :2:

(-$1)


(2) Dream Saturday is in good form, and his good form is darkened by the race vs. Clearly Now, and the class-drop last time.

"DREAM SATURDAY raced five wide in the backstretch then picked up the pace
past the half, gained position near three eighths pole, continued driving five wide in the lane, was no match for clear winner, kept along to finish second best."

Belmont r7
50cent trifecta :5: w/ :4::8::11: w/ :4::11:


I think the 11, Divine Interventio is an interesting horse. This race is basically a 90K ungraded stakes. Good horses.

(-$3)

Belmont r6

$2 Show on :14: St Louie

Should get a generous payout if I hit this. I think I see some subtle form. Hopefully they don't walk on the pace. Guessing Pletcher's 1 being a likely pace setter, and horses like the 7, 10 , 11 trying to keep the 1 honest.

(-$5)

Belmont r4

$2 win :4:

(-$7)

$5.10 winner

(-$1.90)

Bel 5

$1 ex bx :2::3:

($-3.90)

If the public would do their part, I'd be way up in this thread. :coffee: