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-   -   Mountaineer - Live picks - Join me! (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=144740)

Michael 05-06-2018 08:06 PM

:4: horse likely too good to beat

formula_2002 05-06-2018 08:06 PM

the 3/5 exacta won. $1 track payout was $4.90

bet 1 won. since bet 1 had only two horses, one being the winner (top horse) the 5 became a cold exacta bet returning $4.90 on the dollar. delete $1 for losing play #2, the net return on the play was $3.90. the $1 win bet returned only $2.40. the play outperformed the win bet by 163%. of course it's your job to pick the winner:), I just supply the place horse and bet size

a bit wordy but that's the story

Michael 05-06-2018 08:07 PM

yeah I'm just wasting time on a sunday night. Extra cash in my account from churchill. Figured I'd watch Mark and Nancy for old times sakes. I pretty much quit racing.

barahona44 05-06-2018 08:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by barahona44 (Post 2313276)
Got the $5.60 place.

W/P on the :1: Goldilocks Planet in Race 3

Nothing there, faded in the stretch.

Race # 4, the :4: Ready Right Now to win; the :2: Misty's Miracle for the place.

formula_2002 05-06-2018 08:14 PM

Code:

                "Mountaineer
Race
4

Post
8:14

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$4,729"               
YOUR CHOICE        OVER        pgno          BET SIZE "1"            bet size "2" 
                1        -            0.30
                2        -            0.31
                3        0.44          - 
                4        0.38          - 
                5        -            0.24
                6        0.18          - 
                7        -            0.16
                8        -            - 
                9        -            - 
                10        -            - 
                11        -            - 
                12        -            - 
                13        -            - 
                14        -            - 
                15        -            - 
                16        -            - 
                        1.00          1.00


barahona44 05-06-2018 08:26 PM

Race 5, the :8: Sun Boy, W/P.

formula_2002 05-06-2018 08:27 PM

3/4 exacta wins

without the math backup

$1 win bet returns $4.70, my return , bet 2 was $8.15 less $1 for bet 1

outperforming the win return by 173%

Michael 05-06-2018 08:32 PM

Race 5

:10: sitting at 5/1 seems like a go to me

formula_2002 05-06-2018 08:35 PM

"Mountaineer
Race
5

Post
8:36

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$11,107"


Code:

YOUR CHOICE        OVER        pgno          BET SIZE "1"            bet size "2" 
                1        0.12          - 
                2        0.10          - 
                3        -            0.21
                4        0.16          - 
                5        0.22          - 
                6        -            0.34
                7        -            0.24
                8        0.25          - 
                9        -            0.21
                10        0.16          - 
                11        -            - 
                12        -            - 
                13        -            - 
                14        -            - 
                15        -            - 
                16        -            - 
                        1.00          1.00


formula_2002 05-06-2018 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by barahona44 (Post 2313299)
Race 5, the :8: Sun Boy, W/P.

nice call on the 8. your $1 return $5.60 outperformed my $3.39 ex bet return

Michael 05-06-2018 08:53 PM

Last Race for me. I'm going with the :2:

Nice hit Barahona :ThmbUp:

barahona44 05-06-2018 08:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by barahona44 (Post 2313299)
Race 5, the :8: Sun Boy, W/P.

Win : $11.20. Place: $4.00

Race 6, the :3: Classic Arch, W/P

barahona44 05-06-2018 08:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Michael (Post 2313311)
Last Race for me. I'm going with the :2:

Nice hit Barahona :ThmbUp:

Thanks, I do try. :)

formula_2002 05-06-2018 09:00 PM

if teh2 or 4 wins we have a cold exacta



Code:

                "Mountaineer
Race
6

Post
9:00

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,951"               
YOUR CHOICE        OVER        pgno          BET SIZE "1"            bet size "2" 
                1        0.08          - 
                2        -            0.55
                3        0.13          - 
                4        -            0.45
                5        0.61          - 
                6        0.18          - 
                7        -            - 
                8        -            - 
                9        -            - 
                10        -            - 
                11        -            - 
                12        -            - 
                13        -            - 
                14        -            - 
                15        -            - 
                16        -            - 
                        1.00          1.00


Michael 05-06-2018 09:06 PM

my wheels always fall off when I force bet races. :(

Back to waiting around for full fields and playing 1-5 races a week. :puke:


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