HONG KONG – SHA TIN - SUN – 3/3/24
 

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 10 races to be run with 8 on Turf.and 2 on Dirt
(Class-top to bottom)-(1)-Class-1, (1)-Class-2, (3)-Class-3, (3)-Class-4, (2)-Class-5,

Post Time Race #1 – 12:00 AM SUN EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed.

The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined odds values of the selected entries add up to decent return.

For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting options:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Recommend waiting until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).

Selections to follow:

Good Luck if you’re playing!
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Preliminary Selections:

R#1- 1650M C5 (8.25F)D……1-9-7 W/ 5-8-6…..…12:00 AM

R#2- 1200M C4 (6F)……....…3-4-9 W/ 5-12-14…….12:30 AM

R#3- 1650M C5 (8.25F)D..…6-9-10 W/ 7-3-1……..…1:00 AM

R#4- 1600M C4 (8F)T…..…….12-11-4 W/ 9-2-1………1:30 AM

R#5- 1200M C3 (6F)T…….....6-1-5 W/ 2-8-4 ………...2:00 AM

R#6- 1200M C4 (6F)T……..….6-10-3 W/ 7-2-5……...2:35 AM

R#7– 1800M C1 (9F)T……....1-2-14 W/ 4-6-12……..3:05 AM

R#8- 1000M C2 (5F)T……..….4-5-3 W/ 1-9-10….....3:40 AM

R#9- 2000M C3 (10F)T……….6-2-7 W/ 11-4-9 …....4:15 AM

R#10- 1400M C3 (7F)T……….6-11-1 W/ 3-4-14 …...4:50 AM
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RESULTS:

R#1- 5-2-7-9– Out

R#2- 2-3-14-12– Out.

R#3- 3-1-6-10– Quin & Tri

R#4- 12-4-6-11– Win & Quin

R#5- 11-5-3-10– Out.

R#6- 7-3-6-10– Quin & Tri

R#7- 1-8-4-14– Win

R#8- 8-5-10-3– Out

R#9- 4-2-13-9– Quin

R#10- 1-11-2-6– Win & Quin
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