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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Today, 01:23 AM
Replies: 86
Views: 5,066
Posted By equusvates
A.I. true pace

Last one. Won't bore with anymore.

This paceline sequence: recent to first time out.

P0: 87.3 1m turf
P1: 93.5 1 1/16 turf
P2: 94.0 5.5F turf
P3: 86.4 1m dirt
P4: 86.4 ...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Today, 01:06 AM
Replies: 86
Views: 5,066
Posted By equusvates
A.I. true pace

The TP is the true pace column.

Here another that this horse runs about the same race in routes and sprints except in paceline 1 & 2 which were off tracks. It's not easy to find races where...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Today, 12:56 AM
Replies: 86
Views: 5,066
Posted By equusvates
A.I. true pace

Absolutely serious.

I always had trouble with the pace number as given by other sources. I worked on my number for many years. I implicitly knew that a horse that performs well at routes and...
Forum: Selections Yesterday, 11:49 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 17 May 2024, no scr's

Let's see hot "TRAINER OWNER HOPE" works.

TOH
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Yesterday, 11:38 PM
Replies: 86
Views: 5,066
Posted By equusvates
A.I. not really, attachment

[QUOTE=equusvates;2945692]Here is a sample of eight tracks, every race where a Monte Carlo simulation is ran. The only thing fed into the simulator is the true pace number for every paceline a horse...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Yesterday, 11:24 PM
Replies: 86
Views: 5,066
Posted By equusvates
A.I. not really

Here is a sample of eight tracks, every race where a Monte Carlo simulation is ran. The only thing fed into the simulator is the true pace number for every paceline a horse ran that has a valid...
Forum: Selections 05-15-2024, 06:25 AM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, next time

The next time selections are posted, an additional attribute may be seen on some horses. The attribute is named "TOH". The color of the attribute indicates the strength of the attribute. The...
Forum: Selections 05-14-2024, 10:38 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, why same race, same trainer

The same trainer angle was brought up in one of Michael Pizzolla seminars. It is a well known angle but for some you can get a good price at times by betting the “other” horse. I once mentioned this...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-13-2024, 11:10 PM
Replies: 86
Views: 5,066
Posted By equusvates
A.I. an infant

I have attached files which show the possibilities of A.I. The predictions shown in files are from what I consider telling a one-year-old to do advanced calculus. For five horse races the learning...
Forum: Selections 05-13-2024, 09:23 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, Type 23 and 23+

Horses that fit these angles are very rare. I'll let Dan Sara explain the angles to. I have met and listen to his presentations at Michael Pizzolla's seminar, of which I attended four.

When angles...
Forum: Selections 05-13-2024, 05:12 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, layoffs and workouts

It may not be clear to all how the layoff and workouts are shown.

These are the requirements for layoffs are:
1) If a layoff is more than 59 days.


These are the requirements for...
Forum: Selections 05-12-2024, 09:27 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 12 May 2024, results

Viggo tells his son, “John is a man of focus, commitment, sheer will... something you know very little about. I once saw him handicap three races in a bar...with a pencil.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-12-2024, 07:05 PM
Replies: 86
Views: 5,066
Posted By equusvates
A.I.

For now I can demonstrate a rules engine that does a pretty good job of setting the odds for horses or providing picks due to pace scenario and or angles. A pen and paper handicapper may be capable...
Forum: Selections 05-12-2024, 04:52 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Pace scenario, WHITE

If the horse saddle cloth number is printed in white, the program lacks information to calculate the horse's running style. This may be because of foreign horse or DNF or non-standard distance. Gray...
Forum: Selections 05-12-2024, 04:46 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 12 May 2024, more and last scr's

Last scr update
Forum: Selections 05-12-2024, 02:16 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 11 May 2024, CD R6, H6

In CD R6 H6, is drawn in the color cyan which denotes the horse as a presser.
I am not sure if you are looking at the race before or after scr's. Should not make a difference most of the time when...
Forum: Selections 05-12-2024, 01:51 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 12 May 2024, scr,s

No harm, no foul.
Will take a look. Without looking yet, the same routine is used to calculate every running style for every race. The technique is taken from the book "The Power of Early Speed" by...
Forum: Selections 05-12-2024, 06:51 AM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 10 May 2024, fix, yeah another fix

WAPOH, won at price or higher, was only showing attempts. Meaningless.


So now: WAPOH:w/p/s/a

w - won
p - placed
s - show
a - attempts
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-12-2024, 01:57 AM
Replies: 86
Views: 5,066
Posted By equusvates
A.I.

I don't know how to present this without some believing I'm tooting my own horn. But.

I have watched three videos on YouTube in the past of which I can remember the name of one author, Noah...
Forum: Selections 05-11-2024, 10:46 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 11 May 2024, results with WPS

Stuck on winner: bang:
Forum: Selections 05-11-2024, 10:42 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 11 May 2024, results with WPS

WPS payoffs are not corrected to disqualifications.
Forum: Selections 05-11-2024, 04:56 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 12 May 2024

12 May 2024

Hope they don't get tire.
Forum: Selections 05-11-2024, 04:26 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 11 May 2024, scr's, a few more, last update

scr's
Forum: Selections 05-11-2024, 02:53 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 11 May 2024, scr's, a few more

more scr's
Forum: Selections 05-11-2024, 01:20 PM
Replies: 119
Views: 4,691
Posted By equusvates
Selections, 11 May 2024, scr's

scr's added
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