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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

06-09-2014, 02:44 PM

Replies: 123

Poll: Odds lines are useless

Views: 27,109

Posted By Overlay

Sorry for not connecting the dots on your user...

Sorry for not connecting the dots on your user name. :)

I agree that it's too late to bet by then. The point that I was trying to make was that the last-flash odds drops will cause other horses...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

06-09-2014, 02:20 PM

Replies: 123

Poll: Odds lines are useless

Views: 27,109

Posted By Overlay

Welcome to the board. Over-optimism can be...

Welcome to the board.

Over-optimism can be addressed by basing lines on statistical or other quantitative data, rather than subjective opinion.

Last-flash odds changes are an acknowledged...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

05-29-2014, 03:36 PM

Replies: 123

Poll: Odds lines are useless

Views: 27,109

Posted By Overlay

6. Determining the optimum size and distribution...

6. Determining the optimum size and distribution of win bets or exotic wagers based on the disparity between your assessment and the public's (that is, the degree to which a horse, a group of horses,...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

05-26-2014, 07:27 PM

Replies: 123

Poll: Odds lines are useless

Views: 27,109

Posted By Overlay

Yes, the public is more collectively accurate...

Yes, the public is more collectively accurate than any individual handicapper at setting odds on a cumulative, race-in/race-out basis. But that doesn't mean that it is not also capable of regularly...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

05-26-2014, 10:44 AM

Replies: 123

Poll: Odds lines are useless

Views: 27,109

Posted By Overlay

It would be hard for me to put blind faith in any...

It would be hard for me to put blind faith in any odds line without knowing how it was developed, even if I respected the handicapping ability of whoever developed it. However, if I had insight...

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