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Posts Made By:
MJC922
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
Yesterday, 09:27 PM
Replies:
26
Whats your goto track this summer?
Views:
839
Posted By
MJC922
Got spanked at HAW today, projected odds are not...
Got spanked at HAW today, projected odds are not all that helpful there, no idea why, maybe too many options for those in the know. Maybe even offshore. Anyway, I somehow managed to get it all back...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-17-2024, 06:46 PM
Replies:
26
Whats your goto track this summer?
Views:
839
Posted By
MJC922
I'll probably peck away at Hawthorne a bit on the...
I'll probably peck away at Hawthorne a bit on the weekends with these low takeouts.
Are we looking at a minus pool tomorrow with Oeuvre?
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-15-2024, 10:29 PM
Replies:
98
Artificial Intelligence in handicapping. WOW!
Views:
6,396
Posted By
MJC922
It might show you something interesting or maybe...
It might show you something interesting or maybe a new way of looking at something. That could prove to be valuable. I still have no confidence in AI personally for racing because I've always been of...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-15-2024, 10:05 PM
Replies:
112
Preakness
Views:
5,726
Posted By
MJC922
I don't know what their numbers stack up like on...
I don't know what their numbers stack up like on brisnet but I haven't had either one break a 10 yet in all of those races. They both have good lines, IMO they're both very likely to make that...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-15-2024, 06:36 PM
Replies:
8
Muth out
Views:
614
Posted By
MJC922
I have Imagination getting a half point to a full...
I have Imagination getting a half point to a full point better every race, looks ready to make that first more significant 2-3 point forward move for Bob. Might not come here but it's probably...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-13-2024, 05:43 PM
Replies:
12
18 passing the Preakness?
Views:
881
Posted By
MJC922
Lasix causes a lot of water weight to be shed and...
Lasix causes a lot of water weight to be shed and weight matters. Take two horses that are of equal ability and the horse carrying 20 pounds less on it is practically a lock to beat the other most of...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-12-2024, 08:17 PM
Replies:
3
Win pooĺ
Views:
377
Posted By
MJC922
Depends on the odds of the horse you're betting. ...
Depends on the odds of the horse you're betting. In a $100,000 win pool you might drop a 2-1 horse about one full tick down to 9-5 with a $2000 win bet. Those are about 2.4% apart so just...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-09-2024, 10:10 PM
Replies:
17
Lukas Derby/Preakness
Views:
1,002
Posted By
MJC922
Theory
I notice a night and day difference between the philosophies of handicappers who default to trips, track bias and rides for explaining race to race variations in performance vs those handicappers who...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-08-2024, 05:15 PM
Replies:
12
How Good is the Derby Winner?
Views:
720
Posted By
MJC922
Checked my numbers just now, computer had it as a...
Checked my numbers just now, computer had it as a 5.5 which is exactly par, this kind of surprised me, I was expecting something like a full point slower than par. I give him credit, he showed up,...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-07-2024, 12:16 PM
Replies:
11
Andy Serling KY derby breakdown
Views:
1,659
Posted By
MJC922
To be fair per the trainer he lost a shoe and...
To be fair per the trainer he lost a shoe and grabbed a quarter so I don't think he ran his race. With that being said on my numbers he had never run better than a 12, he was consistently at a 12...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-07-2024, 05:55 AM
Replies:
17
Lukas Derby/Preakness
Views:
1,002
Posted By
MJC922
He may fare bit better in the Preakness because...
He may fare bit better in the Preakness because it will at least have been closer to the ten weeks or so this horse is demonstrating it's physically/mentally ready to deliver its peak efforts given...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-06-2024, 04:24 PM
Replies:
27
Anthony Stabile at Finger Lakes
Views:
2,897
Posted By
MJC922
It's more about what I'm expecting from the...
It's more about what I'm expecting from the rider. Be real, it's blatant. I think the feds need to pay a visit to the thumb.
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-06-2024, 03:02 PM
Replies:
27
Anthony Stabile at Finger Lakes
Views:
2,897
Posted By
MJC922
Anthony is doing just fine but this place if they...
Anthony is doing just fine but this place if they keep up the shenanigans is on the way out eventually. Signed, Tater and Tot. :)
I like that line Anthony added in the first race of the meet, the...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-05-2024, 03:43 PM
Replies:
58
How was there no inquiry for 2nd?
Views:
2,648
Posted By
MJC922
I thought he rode him well but I understand...
I thought he rode him well but I understand peoples disappointment. I think it's something they need to work on with the horse but if someone wanted to put another rider up to see if they'd fare...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-05-2024, 02:49 PM
Replies:
58
How was there no inquiry for 2nd?
Views:
2,648
Posted By
MJC922
Are you ok with taking the 3 down too because he...
Are you ok with taking the 3 down too because he cost the 1 the ability to run his race when he herded him into the rail at the break? I think it's bad enough the best horse lost. Putting him third...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-05-2024, 01:19 PM
Replies:
58
How was there no inquiry for 2nd?
Views:
2,648
Posted By
MJC922
To be honest I'd have gone right-handed from the...
To be honest I'd have gone right-handed from the get go at the top of the stretch, maybe he's a left handed rider I dunno. If he went right handed he had plenty of paths to move left as Resilience...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-05-2024, 11:17 AM
Replies:
58
How was there no inquiry for 2nd?
Views:
2,648
Posted By
MJC922
If you've done your homework and you place...
If you've done your homework and you place yourself there, don't you know by now what's coming? :)
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-05-2024, 11:05 AM
Replies:
58
How was there no inquiry for 2nd?
Views:
2,648
Posted By
MJC922
I don't know what that work accomplished with...
I don't know what that work accomplished with this horse pinned to the rail and the kid working on the other horse. If I'm involved as an owner I'm suggesting working this horse in the 8 path...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-04-2024, 06:19 AM
Replies:
11
What position will Sierra Leone be in going into the first turn?
Views:
560
Posted By
MJC922
Last year was an 18 horse field and at the first...
Last year was an 18 horse field and at the first quarter Tapit Trice was running clearly dead last about 12 lengths back so if you go by 12 lengths as a barometer of sorts to where the horse might be...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-03-2024, 03:12 PM
Replies:
11
What position will Sierra Leone be in going into the first turn?
Views:
560
Posted By
MJC922
I only have him ahead of the 4, 7 and 22 on first...
I only have him ahead of the 4, 7 and 22 on first quarter pace figures, and the 4 and 22 well within a point of him anyway so they're close enough for either one or both to be right alongside into...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-02-2024, 05:23 PM
Replies:
67
List your Derby bets here
Views:
4,078
Posted By
MJC922
$200 to win and place on Sierra Leone is my...
$200 to win and place on Sierra Leone is my current plan. Unless he starts acting up of course. I'll have an eye on him pre-race and if he gets goofy I'll cut it down, or if it gets sloppy once again...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-01-2024, 08:21 PM
Replies:
17
Poll:
Dornoch or Track Phantom?
Views:
1,805
Posted By
MJC922
Spend a Buck says hello. I have four horses with...
Spend a Buck says hello. I have four horses with pace figures just as good as last years speed horses and they went 45-4/5 last year with three horses within a length. Dornoch is very fast early...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-01-2024, 08:14 PM
Replies:
33
Is This The Year: Forever Young
Views:
2,392
Posted By
MJC922
Ahh you bit. lol
Ahh you bit. lol
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-01-2024, 08:08 PM
Replies:
33
Is This The Year: Forever Young
Views:
2,392
Posted By
MJC922
I know really, every time I hear it I just see...
I know really, every time I hear it I just see Shoe and Dick Enberg in that piece after Ferdinand won the Derby. Classic piece of horse racing coverage but the tune is now seared into my brain for...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-01-2024, 06:45 PM
Replies:
17
Poll:
Dornoch or Track Phantom?
Views:
1,805
Posted By
MJC922
To me Dornoch is the more talented between the...
To me Dornoch is the more talented between the two. I see Dornoch going right to the front from the rail and leading this event as far as he can take them with Track Phantom getting burned up...
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