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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: formula_2002
Forum: Selections 05-11-2019, 06:32 PM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
Nitro,let me say again, it appears to me you have...

Nitro,let me say again, it appears to me you have the most successful postings . Can you post for any of the major USA tracks.
Forum: Selections 04-26-2019, 11:20 PM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
his key is the margin. in the 4/22/2019 races...

his key is the margin.
in the 4/22/2019 races he has 4 plays, he passed on 6 plays

his dutch $1 return was $1.71 on the dollar
a flat bet would have returned only $1.27.

the sum of 1/("win...
Forum: Selections 04-26-2019, 10:41 PM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
is that based on his 50% min margin. that's the...

is that based on his 50% min margin. that's the key
Forum: Selections 04-26-2019, 09:43 AM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
Nitro "BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to...

Nitro
"BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay...
Forum: Selections 03-29-2019, 10:48 PM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
Nitro, it seems to be the time for me to say...

Nitro, it seems to be the time for me to say "Nice Work".
I have reviewed about 20 of your dutch plays. I keep waiting for the bottom to fall out and it doesn't..

But I'll keep looking:)
Forum: Selections 03-24-2019, 08:05 AM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
hk race 1 03-24-2019 Nitro, please...

hk race 1 03-24-2019




Nitro, please let me know if the attached "dutching panel" is correct.
using final odds, I calculate a positive return of 70%. final tote board odds are used. I...
Forum: Selections 02-28-2019, 02:38 PM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
Thanks Nitro. you are correct. I made two errors....

Thanks Nitro. you are correct. I made two errors.
You seem to be doing very well.
continued success
Forum: Selections 02-28-2019, 08:41 AM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
NITRO, HELP ME OUT HERE. YOU CLAIM A 44% POSITIVE...

NITRO, HELP ME OUT HERE. YOU CLAIM A 44% POSITIVE RETURN.
BASED ON THE FINAL $1 ODDS (NOT THE $1 RETURN), I CALCULATE A 14% LOSS. HOW DID YOU GET 44% . THANKS

Quote:
R#4- 1200M C4...
Forum: Selections 02-20-2019, 09:13 PM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
INDEED!!

INDEED!!
Forum: Selections 02-20-2019, 02:59 PM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
nitro, I looked at your last race and made some...

nitro, I looked at your last race and made some analysis.
based on the final odds (your bet odds may be different)
your $1 return was $1.63
based on the "true odds" as adjusted for track take out,...
Forum: Selections 02-17-2019, 12:17 AM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
no need to reply right away. based on the data,...

no need to reply right away.
based on the data, your dutch play covered 56.6% of the win pool (adjusted for, a 15% take out)
that amounts to a $1 payout of $1.74
Your $1 return was only $1.43...
Forum: Selections 02-16-2019, 10:34 PM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
Nitro I offered comment's to your inquiry in note...

Nitro I offered comment's to your inquiry in note 60 of the thread in question.
my comments centered on timing of the plays.
If I were ever able to believe I could make long terms profits with my...
Forum: Selections 02-16-2019, 07:18 PM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
Nitro, it always confounded me how you can...

Nitro, it always confounded me how you can determine the "dutch win % profit margin" prior to the race.

I would think you would have to establish your own odds line, then compare that to the...
Forum: Selections 01-23-2019, 11:55 AM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
THANKS FOR A THOROUGH EXPLAINATION.

THANKS FOR A THOROUGH EXPLAINATION.
Forum: Selections 01-23-2019, 07:13 AM
Replies: 1,013
Views: 103,014
Posted By formula_2002
todays 2nd race twinspires list the 6/9...

todays 2nd race

twinspires list the 6/9 $1.30 quinella payout as $43.94
the hk web site indicates the 6/9 return as $338 hk dollars

converting hk$ to usd, $338 x 0.13 = $43.94

why does...
Showing results 1 to 15 of 15

 
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