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I do agree that the main cause here is just a cluster of bad luck, but we are at the extreme end that at this point.
If you accept CDI have no control over what is going on (ie can't make it safer), if they remain at Churchill they are left to hope for a statitical correction. The upside of that is actually quite low, peope will continue to talk about the breakdowns early in the meet, while the downside of even a 'normal' number of accidents over the rest is much larger.
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