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Old 04-01-2019, 04:35 PM   #14
f2tornado
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Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bismarck, ND
Posts: 1,657
Quote:
Originally Posted by Thomas Roulston View Post
Didn't Maximum Security run a 100 Beyer last year?

And American Pharaoh and Justify have blown the Dosage Index and the EFH, respectively, out of the water as Derby handicapping tools.

To me at least, the fact that a horse has run at least one triple-digit Beyer is now a more effective eliminator than either the DI or the EFH.
Justify had a DI of 3.00 which is a good number. American Pharoah 4.33 which is par for recent times. 4.00 was once considered the cutoff however the average winning figure has been increasing for years and Roman acknowledged as much. I still find value in Dosage when chalky horses with a DI of 7+ are going 8.5F or longer for the first time. They often don't win.

Maximum Security has a solid DI of 3.00. Certainly don't toss him for that reason.
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