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Old 10-16-2018, 12:15 AM   #1
thaskalos
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,569
Head-scratcher at Parx

The first race at Parx today(Monday) featured a competitive field of 7 horses (after the obligatory 2 late scratches)...and after spending considerable time handicapping it, I concluded that the would be a solid bet if I could get odds of about 3-1. The only other serious contenders in the race seemed to me to be the and the ...and they shared identical front-running styles which figured (to me at least) to be a disadvantage in a race seemingly loaded with early speed. The figured to get a perfect trip in the race...and had the ability to take proper advantage of it. But, to my great surprise, I noticed that the nondescript was getting hammered on the board...eventually going off at the unbelievable odds of 3-2!. Although I make it a point to never ignore seemingly illogical betting action such as this, I couldn't persuade myself that the "overbet" was a legitimate contender in this race...and I proceeded (although gingerly) to place my money on the "logical" .

The and the jumped into the predictable early speed battle, my settled into the golden trip that I had envisioned, the overrated was languishing in last place...and all was right with the world. Alas...my smug feeling was short-lived, because the uncorked a furious late rally which saw him swallow up the entire field...including my "logical" . And I have come here hoping to learn that someone here can make a convincing case for the betting action on this ...otherwise, my dark suspicions are sure to interfere with my sleep.

Thanks in advance.

Last edited by thaskalos; 10-16-2018 at 12:19 AM.
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