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The info I use has that the 2 and the 4 are the only horses that were not racing in restricted company in their last few races; so everything else in there was rising in class today. I'd take the 4 over the 2 based on form.
Also, this Howard Brown Jr. character seems like a pretty bettable trainer; 31% off a trainer change (5 out of 16 is a pretty useful sample size).
Wouldn't touch him at all at 9-5, but I can see it happening. Question that has to be answered is "who is Dave Cannizzo (trainer in previous race)" and what's his relationship with Howard Brown Jr? Note that there's just a trainer change, the horse wasn't claimed out of its previous race.
Mike
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