My selection process had the
as a clear legit favorite for whatever reason. Now I reviewed this in my logs tonight because of this post. I am surprised at the late action in the pools on this horse, I'm ok at calculating final odds, but not so this race.
my computer dutch bet (2 horses to win)
ROI upon bet: 96 and 107
ROI after race: 40 and 120
I think I'd chalk this up to too much late action and move on, no sense in losing sleep over it or even trying to rationalize it it's a little mini black swan.
