I can't speak to the odds since I don't have the PPs for the respective races but the winner's performances do make sense when looking at the early pace relative to the slow final times. In the 5th race in particular, the optical illusion of a "huge closing kick " was actually the result of the race utterly collapsing after running an opening quarter in 21 and change in a race with a final time of 1:13 and change. The winner merely just wisely layed far off it allowing him to far outrun his odds.
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