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what you said about the Mountaineer race, Lambo
Totally on point, what good will an odds line do you when the 1/9 shot, who by the way opened with an "in your face" $5000 win bet into a $186 win pool, will go up to 7-5 after the bell, and the runner up, who was 2-1 or 5-2 at post closes as the 4-5 favorite? I'll tell you what good it's good for: absolutely nothing, just as Edwin Starr sang. Not that this happens every half hour, but it happens enough as to reduce the effectiveness of pre-race odds lines used for betting.
SOMEWHAT.
Nor should we assume, as I'm certain some will claim, that we can predict in advance when these dramatic odds shifts can or will happen at places like Mountaineer. If Andy Beyer was to update his chapter on the Great Barrington Fair (Parsley, Sage Rosemary, and Crime) for the modern betting era, the chapter might be titled "Mountaineer: men, machines, and masochists".
A bookie once gave me the following advice:
"Don't play rock- paper- scissors with guys who are smarter or richer than you".
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