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The beyer numbers are ALOT less mathematical equation and ALOT more subjective opinion than you might think .
I remember just hearing one story from Andy Beyer that really caught my attention. He didn’t give a specific name for the horse or what track this happened at but the impression was given it was just a everyday average type of race nothing special about it.
Anyways horse A wins the race and is given a 72 beyer. Than a few races later at a similar distance horse B runs second in a slower time and gets a 90 beyer. He says he couldn’t figure out how it happened so he just completely tossed the 72 beyer out the window for horse A and pulled the 92 out of the air and gave that to horse A instead because he said it was just common sense that horse A should have a higher beyer than horse B. He said stuff like that happens all the time when making beyer numbers.
I am not saying beyer numbers are useless but for me they are just one of many pieces to the puzzle and personally I think that beyer numbers are far more helpful the cheaper the race is. In a 3200 claimer at Will Rogers Downs I am going to give much more weight to the beyer numbers than I will when handicapping the Kentucky Derby.
Watching race replays if I have the time is for me the single biggest handicapping tool.
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