Quote:
Originally Posted by MadVindication
What in those PPs encouraged that decision?
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I only used the PPs to find the probables for the race, so I'd have something to start in on.
I am one who feels that while performance
always trumps pedigree, that the Belmont is *different*.
The year I did really well in this race (besides the year when I'll Have Another scratched out) was when Tonalist won w/Commissioner running 2nd. I used pretty much zero performance factors that year, capped it entirely on pedigree (killed me to leave off Chrome), only used the PPs for angles I used like "did not run in the Preakness", "never won a stakes race", "had a previous race at BEL" for finding horses who might run 2nd. All my friends were giving me a hard time about a Tapit getting 12F.
PPs were so "off" on their predictions that year.
Like any other method, sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't. If it looks like the odds are going to be very favorable when I reach my outcome, I use it.
