Quote:
Originally Posted by five-eighths
Derma Sotogake was one of the horses I was backing last year and he finished 6th after running the UAE Derby in 1:55.81
Forever Young runs the UAE Derby over two seconds slower at 1:57.89
Did he beat any good horses?
He’s a toss for me unless I hear something convincing
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Not sure of the quality of the field, but Forever Young and the runner up in the UAE Derby were pulling away from the rest late. In theory this indicates they're superior horses in a superior race.
I don't pay as much attention to times as I do other factors, especially with foreign based horses and younger horses with fewer starts. Two seconds "slower" for races a year apart equates to 10 or 12 lengths in American racing - all other things being EQUAL. Which is unlikely.
However, I'll agree that with the Derby you have to take a stand on some horses to keep wager costs under control, and tossing a horse based on a "sub-par" prep is something we'll all have to do. Tossing a Derby horse that's undefeated OTH.....
