Quote:
Originally Posted by iwearpurple
For all the liberals on here who believe Christine Ford is telling the truth, I imagine that all of you also believed Crystal Gail Mangum who destroyed the Duke Lacrosse team with her false accusations. Just because someone says something happened, doesn't make it so.
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This is the thing.
It's possible that Christine Blasey Ford is lying, just like Crystal Gail Mangum did.
It's also possible that Brett Kavanaugh is lying, just like Bill Cosby did.
All anybody can do at this point is to be as reasonable as possible in trying to determine which of the two is more likely.
https://web.stanford.edu/group/maan/...n/?page_id=297
According to a website associated with Stanford:
Only about 2% of all rape and related sex charges are determined to be false, the same percentage as for other felonies (FBI). So while they do happen, and they are very problematic when they do, people claim that allegations are false far more frequently than they are and far more frequently than for other crimes. Put another way, we are much more likely to disbelieve a woman if she says she was raped than if she says she was robbed, but for no good reason.
So, in general it's pretty unlikely that a woman making an accusation of sexual assault is lying. It's a 50/1 bet.
On the other hand, the most plausible case for claiming that Christine Blasey Ford is lying clearly has to do with the
TIMING of her allegation.
The onus is on her to convincingly explain why she came forward when she did and not earlier.
On the other other hand, the fact that several accusers have now come forward makes it more likely, that Brett Kavanaugh is not as innocent as he maintains.
The bold accusations by Michael Avenetti could be a determining factor here.
It remains to be seen if he can substantiate them in the press conference he is promising within 48 hours.
