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FIRST LET ME SAY, DISREGRADS ALL OF YESTERDAYS "TOP 3" EXCATA BET SIZES. THEY WERE OFF TOPIC
AS I EXPLAINED IN THIS THREADS 1ST NOTE, I'M TRYING TO ESTABLISH EXACTA BET SIZES THAT WHEN USED WITH "YOUR PICK" OVER ALL, WILL EXCEED THE $1 WIN STRAIGHT WIN BET.
FROM THE SMALL SAMPLE I'M WORKING WITH, IT APPEARS THAT IF YOUR PICK IS MY 1ST OF 2ND HIGHEST BET SIZE, THE CHANCHES ARE THAT THE EXACTA RETURN WILL EXCEED TEH WIN BET RETURN
I HAVE ATTACHED THE PLAY FOR YESTEDAYS UK SOUTHWELL R 5
THERE ARE 3 HORSES WHO'S BET SIZES EXCEED $0.005, TWO OTHER HORSES DID NOT. (IT WAS A FIELD OF 5)
THE 4 HORSE WON, THE 2 HORSE PLACED
THE BET SIZE SUM FOR ALL HORSES WAS $133
IF YOU PICK WAS THE 4 HORSE, YOU DEDUCT IT'S BET SIZE, $101 FROM THE TOTAL BET.
THAT MAKES YOU TOTAL BET $29.40
THE TRACK $1 EXACTA ON THE 4/2 WAS $2.03
YOUR RETURN WAS 26 X 2.03 = $60.57 (BET SIZES ARE ROUNDED OFF)
YOUR $1 RETURN ON THE WINNING EXACTA BET / YOUR TOTAL BET = $2.06
THE $1 WIN BET ONLY RETURNED $1.70
YOU HAD A 121% ADVANTAGE WHICH IS CLOSE TO IF BEATING THE TRACK TACKOUT ON THE WIN BET
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Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 02-14-2019 at 12:09 PM.
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