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Thread: Arkansas Derby
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Old 04-01-2024, 10:53 AM   #31
bisket
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Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 3,516
The puzzle for handicappers has become a more difficult in recent derbies and I think will be more common in future derbies. How do you deal with the fastest horse being an unfinished product? In the Fla. Derby the most talented horse got the dream trip and blew the doors off the the other potential entrants. In the Arkansas Derby the most talented horse freaked out before reaching the stabling area and bulled his way to the front in the race and finished up the track. lol what are the chances Fierceness goes untouched to a 24, 48, 112 early fractions in the derby? What are the chances Timberlake acts like a professional before and during the race? I’d say the chances are much lower in the circus of the pre race in derby. The chances are much less a horse gets the dream trip in a 20 horse field. I think the chances are greater that bit of them finish out of the tri than both will be in it.
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