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Thread: Arkansas Derby
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Old 04-10-2024, 09:07 AM   #33
burnsy
self medicated
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: toga
Posts: 3,102
Good horses don’t always “get” dream trips they make them happen . I don’t really think Fierceness needs the lead . Just be up there , stalking is probably better anyway . The other three preps had some sloppy running and gate problems . Whoever works that out will have a chance . If Chad Browns horse gets it together he will be tough but somewhat at the mercy of the pace . The last two years saw long shots get the right pace , trip and close . Never to be seen in the winners circle again. How likely will it be three in a row ? Because before that Stalking , low price horses had been winning . I’ve seen Jokers on here try to make an argument that pace doesn’t matter . I don’t see how you handicap that way . These days the easiest way to steal these longer races is when there’s no aggression to make the lead . And if it comes up rain . Whole new race .

Last edited by burnsy; 04-10-2024 at 09:11 AM.
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