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Old 08-10-2018, 04:04 PM   #1039
Robert Fischer
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer View Post
tough race with no standout

three horses have the talent to win this race outright

LEAP TO GLORY = Lone E type. He just broke mdn as heavy chalk while dropping to mdn clm. His current price stinks.

CANDY ZIP = last time was the disaster. Trainer can get get a horse in shape, and his form is pretty. I don't like his footwork, even when he broke maiden. Last time brushed the gate and mainly broke poorly-outwardly and never had a shot. One of several mid-priced horses, so I won't talk you off him if you like the .

ZONIC = not a 'top-tier' type, but in a race lacking any top-tier types(unless you think the or will run a career top), the should contend for the win. I figure Bravo is a wise dude, and will patiently sit patiently at least in-touch with the mid-pack group, improve some position, and then get him wide in the clear to plod past the front-runners in the stretch. He needs a smart ride. Public has defaulted to favoritism, but 3/1 is fair enough.


If no one can win this race outright - and even if they do - the should plod up in tandem. If the 3 mediocre 'talents' all fail, it will look like a thrilling finish.


exactas / and / (going against the lone speed 's underlayed odds)
That's all you can ask for(mispriced horses and a formful race)(as a bonus, the Sicilia Mike will be an underlay that you can bet against next time). Maybe a race that I should have crushed more, but like Joe Bravo on a much-the-best plodder, patience is the theme.

SAR #6 $1 Exacta 8, WT, 2, 5, 7 $3.00 = $26.50(+$23.50 -$3+$0.90)(+$21.40 d)
SAR #6 $1 Exacta 2, 5, 7, WT, 8 3.00 = -$3.00
S̶A̶R̶ ̶#̶3̶ ̶$̶1̶ ̶W̶i̶n̶ ̶6̶ ̶$̶1̶.̶0̶0̶ ̶=̶ ̶$̶2̶.̶9̶0̶ ($+$0.90 d)
S̶A̶R̶ ̶#̶2̶ ̶$̶1̶ ̶W̶i̶n̶ ̶6̶ ̶$̶1̶.̶0̶0̶ ̶=̶ ̶-̶$̶1̶.̶0̶0̶
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Last edited by Robert Fischer; 08-10-2018 at 04:09 PM.
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