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Old 01-18-2024, 11:03 AM   #6
BarchCapper
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Join Date: Jun 2019
Location: Clarksville, AR
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Saratoga View Post
Thx Barch for this post made me realize I slipped up on my query...

I believe this is correct....

Picture 1 is Wo horses finishing 4th or better coming to GP Tapeta (that is what I left out Tapeta criteria)

there were 99 horses from 1/2021 to yesterday that came from WO to GP Tapeta
17 won (17%) at a .89 ROI

Take out that $73 winner and ROI falls to .53

In those 3 years there were only 3 double digit winners ( 10 - 14 - 73)

So , I have to disagree with you that WO holds up at GP
I'd be surprised that my 3 year numbers were that different for starters. Did you do WO Tapeta to GP Tapeta, or did the WO include turf runners in their last start? I did Tapeta to Tapeta. (And I *think* I had 17 winners in that sample.)
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Tom in NW Arkansas
——————
”Past performances are no guarantee of future results.” - Why isn't this disclaimer printed in the Daily Racing Form?

Last edited by BarchCapper; 01-18-2024 at 11:05 AM. Reason: Clarification
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