Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
I have mixed feelings about this horse.
On the one hand I like betting against horses that had an easy trip last out moving into a spot that will be much more difficult.
On the other hand, horses that have been drawing off from their competition in slow paced races sometimes don't show what they actually have in the tank until they are tested.
When he's tested, my guess is that he's either going to come up totally empty and finish off the board or surprise us at how good he actually is.
I think he's probably "all" or "nothing" with "all" defined as a huge race.
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I agree with everything you said. I just think that his odds will be attractive enough that it makes it worth the risk to add him to your ticket. If he was going off at 9/2 than I probably would leave him off but at 12-1 it makes it alot easier to look past his negatives.