Quote:
Originally Posted by Wizard of Odds
My post above should have read as follows... apologies!
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Hey Wizard
I get it gambler's fallacy...there is no such thing as something being due to happen just because it happened a number of times consecutively or otherwise. It's the same probability no matter how many attempts are made.
Especially in the case of a fair coin or die, just because you get 15 heads in a row or in the example 14 number 4's in a row doesn't mean the other numbers are due or the 4 has a better chance because it is coming out more so than the other numbers
I like to track the short term events and in the short term I like to see what the trends are and go with or against what's trending at the time.
Like going with a hot shooter on a basketball team until he starts to miss or a running back that is destroying the defense until they figure out a way to adjust
That's what I like to look at so I started tracking the trends
