Quote:
Originally Posted by Wizard of Odds
How could you possibly know whether to go with or against a "trend"?
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I don't know it's just a guess and I hope that I guess right based on what's happening
So in the case of the 4's in your example. There's no way I could possibly know ahead of time if there will be any more 4's that will occur but if I see that every time there are a big string of 4's they get cold after subsequent attempts I might go against the trend.
Or, if I have seen that 4's have been cold for a long stretch and they are starting to come out maybe I will take a chance on another 4 since they are starting to win.
In your example it's based on a "fair" die. However, we all know that when it comes to gambling "fair" gets very slippery. So, just in case it's not fair, if I have information that the 4's are winning more often than the other numbers it works out to an advantage.
