I wonder what Hidden Scroll's 'good race' looks like.
So far, I've seen two races from him, and neither gave me a straight-forward representation of what his good race is.
If I had to guess, I'd say that he does
not look like a top Kentucky Derby or triple-crown-series contender at this point. He belongs in the 20 horse field (TBH I didn't just run down a 20-deep field, but 'F it, put him in the top-20), he's just not looking like a win-contender.
That was a long shot chance after his debut, but it couldn't be ruled out, and I'd say it's even less likely now.
I know it's a business and the talking heads did a great job, but I think I heard 'Justify' being mentioned 297 times between the previews and the broadcasts... Smart media.
But Justify is a different animal. Justify also would have done a lot more, even with that hot pace. Nobody ran a big race in the FOY, but even if you make a case for Hidden Scroll, I can't see his performance numbers being much higher than the dream trip winner.