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Old 04-25-2018, 10:54 PM   #9
papillon
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Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 282
Oops

Quote:
Originally Posted by Spalding No! View Post
You left out My Boy Jack, who likes to make one run.

Whether Kent Desormeaux decides to unleash him way too early (say at the 1/2 mile pole), or commence an 8- or 9-wide late sweep, or a combination thereof is anybody's guess...
He's on the diagram--6f 1:13, with Lone Sailor et al

8f 1:37 with Magnum Moon et al, faltering

Too many heads

Stalling or not stalling is based on the amount of time it took them to get from 6f to 8f in their last race, 24s = going well, 25s = stalling, 26s = faltering. I don't average this one because the last race is indictive of wear and tear, and almost always is at highest weight to date.

In My Boy Jack's case I used his 2nd the last race because he was carrying more weight.

I have a background in professional cycling, so I try to guesstimate as best as possible their physiological condition and lactic acid threshold.

For context:

Buffering lactic acid is the 2nd most important function of Lasix, masking doping is the 1st, which is why it is illegal in human sports.

EPO increases oxygen capacity of red blood cells, this doesn't buffer lactic acid directly, but as it slows the rate of exhaustion, which makes it easier to cope with lactic acid.
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