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Old 09-22-2019, 10:13 AM   #27
classhandicapper
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker View Post
W $17.40


Hard to believe she drifted up to 7/1. Needed it to make a small profit while the race came out almost exactly as I saw it happening. Tough game.
I thought the exacta was extremely generous.

CJ and I discussed the race a little in another thread. I wound up making a few dollars on the race, but in all honestly I screwed it up badly.

I wound up keying against the horses I thought would chase Serengeti Empress (Jaywalk/Bellafina) and keying the winner to create value in the exacta and/or trifecta, but I used her on top way less.

I WAY over thought the race.

On paper the race looked like it was going to have a very fast pace and I should focus on Guarana and Street Band, but since I had seen Serengeti Empress bottom out a field loaded with speed before, I was afraid to toss her, especially from the rail. So I had some SE with the winner too.

With any other speed horse, I might have crushed the exacta and triple. That's the downside of thinking too much sometimes.
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