http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdfs/darley_96683.pdf
Fairly simple contest imo. Bris says par is 95.
You have the favorite #10 Rare Exchange(5/2) who reached or passed that # in her past two including an April to November comebacker last out. No reason why she can't repeat or improve 2nd off the shelf.
The other runner who could reach par is #7 Eagle Island(6-1). 3yof put in a 92 on debut in June over the track and trip. Tried turf in August, tanked & has been off since. Working every 6 days for the past 7 weeks. Normal improvement from June to December of her 3yo season in her 2nd try versus winners gives her a good chance to contend.
It's difficult to figure who is more likely to win, but imo it's a two horse race & I'll place 50 dollars of exacta bets arranged so I get at least 9-1 no matter which one wins.
