Quote:
Once in a while you'll run into a horse that I call pace immune.
These are herd horses, they're usually consistent hangers that run pretty much the same speed figures every race. They'll run a 60 Beyer in a cheap claimer and could probably run a 60 in a grade three stakes race when any other cheap claimer would run a 30.
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Agreed again.
Years ago, I would make small adjustments to my speed figures when horses moved up or down in class. It's a kind of backdoor way to adjust for the easier/tougher race developments and paces that are likely at different classes.
But I would run into horses (usually mid pack runners or closers) that would basically run the same figure no matter what class they were in. Typically they didn't engage, chase, try to keep up, or try to get themselves into the race. They just did their own thing and then ran late. It was the classic suck up style. My formula would overrate them when they dropped in class. So I'd ignore the formula.