Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
Yes, I agree you don’t know at this stage of its racing career how good it is, but you can say the same thing about every other 3 year old in the Derby. What you can assuredly say is that relative to the other horses in the field Fierceness stands out based upon its PROVEN ability when making the basic performance comparisons.
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I think you missed my major point.
Others may disagree, but i have reason to believe his 3 wins weren't as good as they look due to favorable conditions and his 2 losses are not as bad at they look due to trip/conditions. He doesn't have a race where I think I can get a solid line on what he's likely do on an honest track, with a solid pace, against Derby quality competition.
IMO, he might be worth 8/5 or he might be worth 8-1 but I'm not sure.
That's different than having a solid opinion on how good a horse is.
