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[woodbinepmi]

Hong Kong at Happy Valley. November 14, 2018 20th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 72 Degrees Partly Cloudy 10% of Rain Wind: E 10 to 20mph.

Post time: 6.15am ET, 3.15 am PT. Rail: Course “C”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181114_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 7 Bigwood (3-1) Is trying the Valley for the first time and with him never showing any tactical speed and breaking from the rail he’ll most likely have to swing wide into the stretch and I am playing that he will run out of room at the wire.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 087 (Winners: 1st & 3rd, Second: 4th)
Race 4 Open House (18-1)

Race 060 (Winners: 3rd & 6th, Second: 4th, Class 3 race)
Race 8 Land Grant (11-1)

Race 107 (Winners: 3rd, 9th & 10th, Class 3 race)
Race 8 Red Warrior (even)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 2 Trendiful (8-5)
Race 6 Back In Black (20-1)
Race 7 Namjong Plus (7-1)
Race 8 Fast Most Furious (7-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 3 Multimax (7-1)
Race 6 Country Star (3-5)
Race 7 Brave Legend (6-1)
Race 8 Super Chic (12-1)
Race 8 Red Warrior (even)


Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 7 Namjong Plus (7-1)
Race 8 Packing Dragon (19-1)
Race 8 Red Warrior (even)
Race 8 Pretty Bauhinia (17-1)

Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 6 Country Star (3-5)

Class specialists running tonight:
Race 3 Mr Right (7-2)

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 4 Champion Supreme (7-5) Went off at 10-1 in his debut which is surprising considering he’s out of the Casper Fownes’ barn at the Valley and drew leading rider Zac Purton for the trip, the odds may have been at that level due to him drawing the 10 hole for the 1000 metre sprint. He broke a step slow which allowed Power Man in hole 9 and Lunar Zephyr gate 11 to come together and forced Zac to take back and race from the rear afterwards, he started running half-way in the turn and corned the sharp turn into the stretch very well considering it was his debut at the Valley after most of his barrier trials were at Sha Tin and Conghua which have large sweeping turns. Was gaining on the leaders in the stretch without being asked by Purton but was forced to take up at the 70 metre mark when Gentle Breeze came into his path while he was looking for running room himself, was wrapped up on afterwards losing by only 2 lengths without being hit only once in the stretch. He was allowed to gallop out after the wire which is very unusual with Purton on, he likes to pull them up as soon as possible after the wire. Gets a much better draw for today’s race and should improve out of the gate with the experience of having a go under his belt.

Race 6 Back In Black (20-1) In his first race after being away from the track in four months, he was bet down to the 7-2 third choice, he broke a step slow out of gate 3 then was forced to be taken up slightly when Iron Boy and Green Luck came together afterwards, had to be taken up again in the short turn on the backside losing at least another length. Raced 2 wide in the turn then moved to the middle of the track entering the stretch and started to make up ground on the leaders but flattened out at the 70 metre mark looked as if the lengthy layoff took its effect, was allowed to gallop out after Ho saw that it was useless to get into him. Change of rider to Schofield may help matters but drawing the 10 hole may offset that and draws a real nice runner from the John Size barn in Country Star.

Past watch list runners running tonight:
Race 7 Brave Legend (6-1)

Key Plays:
Race 4 Champion Supreme (7-5)
Race 7 Brave Legend (6-1)


Longshots:
Race 6 Back In Black (20-1)
Race 8 Super Chic (12-1)