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Old 05-24-2018, 11:22 PM   #164
f2tornado
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Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bismarck, ND
Posts: 1,631
Interesting info above. It’s easy to develop tunnel vision in this game for the favorite or against it. Justify wasn’t my first choice in the Derby but he fit enough of my angles to play on top with my other two selections. I used him almost exclusely on top in Preakness. Now several contenders fit my Belmont angles better than Justify. This time I will let him beat me in the win pool and hope he finishes out of the money. His BSF and Brisnet dropped, he’s got the hoof issue, he’s got 12 panels, and he’s got fresh competition that doesn’t need to be all that great to hit the wire first. Maybe Hofburg will be the next Tapit to get the job done. Maybe Blended Citizen with the Raise A Native sire line and Northrn Dancer dam sire line like many Belmont winners before the Tapit invasion. I didn’t hit Tonalist very hard several years back and regretted it for a long time. I’ll take a bigger swing this year.
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