Sidebar

[SkunkApe]

Originally Posted by cj

Just for you , and I do this each year to make sure figs aren't drifting astray anyway, I checked all the shippers into and out of Santa Anita in 2018 that ran on dirt at a similar distance, within a furlong.

I had 65 horses shipping out, 18 shipping in.

Horses shipping out had an average speed figure change of +1 point (faster) and the median was 0. That is just about perfect.

Horses shipping in (small sample) had an average speed figure change of +1 (also faster) and the median was also 1 faster.



One point in either direction is insignificant. The horses running on the slower dirt at Santa Anita are not being overrated in my sample. Those shipping out are running similar speed figures, and those shipping in are not jumping up like they would be if the SA horses were rated too highly.

Good work. Thanks.