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Old 11-09-2018, 06:42 PM   #59
woodbinepmi
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Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,782
Hong Kong at Sha Tin. November 10, 2018 19th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 78 Degrees Cloudy 10% of Rain Wind: E 10 to 20mph.

Post time: 12 am ET, 9pm PT. Rail: Course “A”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20181110_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourites on the card:
Race 3 Royal Mojito (3-1) Even though he ran a decent 4th beaten two lengths after encountering trouble and is moving from the 12 post to the rail, I will play all day long against a record of 0-21 in Hong Kong and a trainer that is 1-38 going 1200 metres on the dirt.

Race 6 Bring It On (4-1) Another one with a poor lifetime record (1 for 29 in HKJC) and has had plenty of tries at the class level, he plods along and will make a slight run late but always after the race as been already decided.

Horses coming out of key races running today (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 088 (Winners: 2nd & 10th, Second: 1st)
Race 4 Gameplayer Emperor (16-1)
Race 4 Victory Machine (9-2)

Race *751 (Winners: 5th, 8th & 9th)
Race 8 Conte (11-1)

Race 035 (Winners: 5th & 7th, Second: 3rd, 4th & 6th)
Race 9 Speedy King (9-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 3 Golden Effort (11-1)
Race 8 Calculation (19-1)
Race 8 Morethanlucky (15-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running today:
Race 4 Complacency (6-1)
Race 7 Home Run (9-1)
Race 8 Little Giant (9-5)
Race 8 Morethanlucky (15-1)
Race 9 Team Fortune (5-1)
Race 10 Happy Sebring (3-1)


Horses for courses running today:
Race 8 What Else But You (18-1)
Race 8 Simply Brilliant (9-1)
Race 8 Conte (11-1)

Distance specialists running today:
Race 8 Jolly Banner (11-1)
Race 8 Conte (11-1)

Class specialists running today:
None


Last race watch list horses running today:
Race 1 Penzance (7-2) Commenced fairly before ridden up to position in behind leaders but was forced to take up soon afterwards. Travelled well throughout middle stages before being asked to quicken from 400m to keep in touch with leading pair but left slightly flat-footed.

Race 2 Gracious Ryder (9-1) Began fairly, positioned 3 to 4 lengths back on rail, steadied off heels near 600M, checked near 400M, no clear running in straight and was not able to test properly late.

Race 6 You Have My Word (9-2) Settled last in early stages before commencing sweeping run around the field from 800m. Were three and four horses wide in middle stages before joining leaders at 350m, ran around in straight but was very brave considering.

Race 8 Simply Brilliant (9-1) Commenced well, sat a length behind the leader on rail, easy run on turn, no clear running early in straight, angled out after passing 300M, finished off well thereafter to take a place.

Race 8 Conte (11-1) Taken forward early to be handily placed 4th/5th, but 3 wide. No cover from 900m. Stayed on solidly, but lacked turn of foot and went to the line 1 paced.

Race 10 Marzouq (4-1) Began well from gate 12, unable to slot in, raced 4 wide at rear, no cover throughout, moved closer on the turn, made very good progress in straight to take 3rd.

Race 10 The Judge (18-1) Began fairly, raced 2 wide, 5 lengths back, severely checked near 900M, similar position on turn, no clear running after turning in, made minor progress when clear final 100M.


Past watch list runners running today:
Race 6 Good Days (9-2)


Key Play:
Race 6 You Have My Word (9-2)


Longshots:
Race 5 Super Fun (21-1)
Race 7 Everest (21-1)
Race 8 Simply Brilliant (9-1)
Race 10 The Judge (18-1)
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