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There are different scenarios that come up in rare cases.
Can't find the race after a couple guesses ('capped last night to beat a favorite whom I realized was not vulnerable).
There was a horse who had graduated a weaker claiming condition who had won leading or pressing after a page-full of P or S attempts. I don't know the pace-projection for that previous race, and whether the likely speed 'fired'.
According to Bris their pace figs were much higher for this horse last time.
A new jockey had been assigned last time, and was listed to ride again today(he may have earned the job).
Did not see other changes like trainer/owner/blinkers etc...
Don't know his Bris style designation in the prior race, but they now listed him an E or E/P I'm assuming in part due to his last race.
Just one rare example. It looks (at least on the surface) like the medium-small barn gave a different mid-low level jockey a chance and he was aggressive and it worked. Something to look out for.
disclaimer = Also possible other things happened (it's possible I suppose healed from injury, or was a previous E style before committing to a board-hitting style once he began to quit or lost a step... It's not always the simple answer but I'll use it for the example
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Last edited by Robert Fischer; 11-21-2023 at 03:39 PM.
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