05-12-2018, 12:08 PM
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#87
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
5-11-2018 results
Won 4 of 33 plays
$3300 bet $733 returned
Bankroll now stands at ($8687-2567)=$6120 |
U.S.A RACES
I HAVE BEEN USING THE FAVORITE OVER SELECTED HORSES, USING SPECIFIC BET SIZES.
AS OF NOW, NOT SHOWING ANY POSITIVE RESULTS, HOWEVER, MY EFFORTS HAVE SHOWN THAT USING THESE SELECTED HORSES AND THEIR BET SIZES, THE WINNING EXACTA HAS BEEN RETUNING MORE DOLLARS THAN A FLAT WIN BET.
EXAMPLE, THE 1ST 4 POSTED RACES FOR 5-11-2018,
CD R1 THE $1 WIN BET RETURNED $4.90, THE EXACTA $6.54, 1.33 EDGE
WO TB R1 $1 WIN BET RETURNED $4.30, THE EXACTA $7.46 , 1.73 EDGE
CD R2 $1 WIN BET RETURNED $2.50, THE EXACTA $5.04, 2.10 EDGE
BEL R6 $1 WIN $3.30, THE EXACAT $9.43., 2.85 EDGE
IF THESE PLAYS WERE TO WIN 100% OF THE TIME, TO OBTAIN A PROFIT, THE EDGE NEEDS TO EXCEED THE RACE BOOKING %, ABOUT 1.20 FOR A 17% TRACK OUT.
HOWEVER, IN REALITY, IF THESE BETS WON 20%* OF THE TIME THE AVERAGE EDGE MUST EXCEED 1.44(?) TO BE PROFITABLE.
* DEPENDS ON THE WINNER'S DOLLAR ODDS.
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Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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