Quote:
Originally Posted by Running Amok
Basically what I was asking is what do you consider to be a "low win%" and would you eliminate a horse as a contender that's trained by, or rode by, a person that has such a "low win%" ?
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If I was trying to make a rule, I'd say 5% or under over a fairly long period is pretty much a toss unless the rider/jockey has a solid ROI, has done well with this particular horse or the entire race is fully of low win% jockeys and trainers.
Above 5% but below 10%, I'm still going to downgrade the horse.
Horses trained by low % trainers are less likely to run back to their recent good race than horses trained by high percentage trainers and even less likely to improve (and of course vice versa).
