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Old 03-02-2024, 10:20 AM   #18
capitalman
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Join Date: Apr 2019
Posts: 83
Quote:
Originally Posted by Parkview_Pirate View Post
That pretty much describes the typical horseplayer these days. A glutton for punishment, if nothing else.

I'm not sure if the Preakness future this weekend is the most insane bet ever, but it definitely ranks up there. The latter Preakness future pool is playable, and can be used as a hedge on Derby bets or flyers with a bit more currency in their form known, as well as the connection's intent for the Triple Crown races.

I often make a small bet in the first or second Derby future, but this year I didn't - pared the field down to six horses in Pool 2, but couldn't key on any one of them. Most years it's a struggle to get an early future pool bet to the gate on Derby Day, but I've watched a few become decent horses later on. So, it's worth the "entertainment" value, IMHO.
It's not an insane bet if you believe Baffert can keep Nysos together for the next 2.5 months. If you can afford to risk your money that Nysos will make it into the gate, then there's only one way to play it-bet Nysos & get rewarded for the 2.5 month wait with a $7 payoff instead of a $3 payoff.

Betting any other horse than Nysos is insane since he's by far the best 3YO and he will be on more rest than any of the Derby horses who run.

I feel the same way about Nysos as I did when I got 8/1 on American Pharoah when I trusted Baffert to keep him sound for the Derby after he went back in training in 2015.
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