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11/5/16 SA R9 TURF (G1), $4M, 1M 1/2 TURF
10 FOUND 3-1 Moore
4 FLINTSHIRE 5-2 Castellano
12 HIGHLAND REEL 3-1 Heffernan
9 MONEY MULTIPLIER 20-1 Velazquez
6 MONDIALISTE 15-1 Tudhope
1st: 10 FOUND (3-1)
Ran 2nd twice to the best Euro turf horse, Almanzor, who has won 8 of 10 starts in his career. In between, all she did was win the Arc de Triomphe. In the exacta in 17 of 20 career starts. One off the board was a very troubled trip in the 2015 Arc. She then ran 2nd in the Qipco, same race ran 2nd in a few weeks ago, before a classy win over Arc de Triomphe winner, Golden Horn at Kee. Turf routes have favored the closers this meet.
2nd: 4 FLINTSHIRE (5-2)
After running 2nd in the 2015 Arc and again to today’s foe, Highland Reel in the 2015 prestigious Hong Kong Vase, he was moved to top US trainer, Chad Brown. He thoroughly toyed with US competition before his poor effort in the Turf Classic. The question is if he’s on the decline or just didn’t care for the surface. He’s in with a deep field and will need to revert to his 2015 form to beat top foes. Honing in on $9M in earnings.
3rd: 12 HIGHLAND REEL (3-1)
Third of the big three Euro’s and he’s got much more early speed than the other two. In fact, he shipped to the US once, in 2015 in the G1 Secretariat Stakes and he went wire to wire w/ condescending ease to win by 5 lengths (earned 100 fig in there). Beat Flintshire in the ’15 HK Vase and he did so gamely, re-rallied when Flintshire moved to him. Can win this w’ a decent trip.
A) 4,10 B) 9,12 C) 2,3,5,6,7
HISTORICAL TRENDS (32 Years): This race has all about Euro shippers and deep closers, including last year when Found won this race from midfield some 26 lengths off a tear away leader. Euro’s have now won 21 of 32 all-time (66%) and deep closers have won 15 of 32 (47%). Aidan O’Brien has won this race 3 of the last 5 years and been 1st or 2nd in 7 of the last 15 years, winning it outright 5x.
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