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Old 05-15-2016, 03:50 AM   #16
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SANTA ANITA 5/15/16 RACE 1 – MSW 56K, 7F DIRT

1 TRYST 3-5
5 SUGARY 5-1
3 ESCALANTE 6-1
6 EVERLOVIN WOMAN 6-1


PICK: #1 TRYST (3-5)
She ran as if it were a prep for longer in her debut. She didn’t really start to pick up her feet until the winner was home. She was bet down to 2-5 due to the :58.2 work she had prior to the race. Mandella is better with 2nd timers. Dam half to 4 stakes winners. 81 Beyer dwarfs anything from this field so far.

VALUE: #5 SUGARY (5-1)
Jones has a nice ROI with 2nd time starters. This one was 3-1 in the debut but had little chance trying to close into such a slow early pace. The winner went wire to wire. Grade 1 winner, Tiz Flirtatious, is in the female tree.

A) 1
B) 3,5,6
C) 2,4
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Old 05-19-2016, 02:14 PM   #17
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SANTA ANITA 5/19/16 RACE 1 – MSW 56K, 4.5F DIRT

6 LOFTY CAUSE 4-1
4 BARBARA JO 7-2
9 YOU’RE LATE 7-2
5 FORTHE LOVEOF PATTY 5-1


PICK: #6 LOFTY CAUSE (4-1)
Bet down to 4-5 in the debut but the rail did her no favors. Was off awkwardly and in tight, steadied for much of the stretch (a throw out race). Maldonado picks up the call, apprentice off. This is win early breeding. Dam stakes winning sprinter.

VALUE: #4 BARBARA JO (7-2)
This trainer has won four times with 2YO runners at 4.5 or 5F in the last two years including 2x this year. Maldonado was aboard both wins. Working smartly and gets aggressive gate jock. Expect speed.

A) 4,6,9
B) 3,5
C) 2,7
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Old 05-20-2016, 03:20 AM   #18
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SANTA ANITA 5/20/16 RACE 2 – MSW 56K, 1M DIRT

4 CRIMSON AND GOLD 4-1
2 SHAZARA 5-2
5 CARADINI 5-2
6 THAT’S A LADY 2-1

PICK: #4 CRIMSON AND GOLD (4-1)
Forget her last on the off-track, routing where they were aiming. Owner had the G1 dam, 2nd dam, both won their money going long. Debut was excellent since this trainer rarely wins sprinting 1st time out. Serious move to go back to Smith.

VALUE: #2 SHAZARA (5-2)
Third in both start and both were not the best trips. Off slow, steadied in debut and very wide in her last start. Bred for the route. Winner in last came back to run 2nd a neck in an alw at CD last week.

A) 2,4
B) 5
C) 6
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Old 05-21-2016, 02:12 AM   #19
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Full card for Pimlico, Santa Anita and Canterbury at the link in signature

SANTA ANITA 5/21/16 RACE 1 – MSW 56K, 4.5F DIRT

4 LA PREMEIERE ETOILE 12-1
8 ALL THAT HEAT 5-2
6 WARM ENDOWMENT 7-2
3 HIJIKI 4-1

PICK: #4 LA PREMEIRE (12-1)
Tough to know if she has any talent after that debut but have to cut her a bit of slack. She chased a freak who won by 16, 99 Beyer. She tired from the early efforts and came to a walk. Dam Group 2 turf placed in Europe. Sib 4 for 19, 171k on turf.

VALUE: #6 WARM ENDOW (7-2)
Good 2nd in her debut but she was a bit one-paced in her 2nd out. The winner drew off and 2nd was far off of 3rd. Bred top to bottom for grass and comes in with a bullet work in :46.2 here. Looks live on the turf.

A) 4,6,8
B) 3
C) 1,2
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Old 05-22-2016, 06:47 AM   #20
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SA 5/22/16 - 5th–MDN CLM 50K, 6F DIRT

4 REE O KERR 3-1
6 ARCH KISSER 8-1
7 PHANTOM HEAT 20-1
1 RED CAR MAC 6-1

PICK: #4 REE O KERR (3-1)
Not many 12 horse maiden races at LRC but this one drew the 12 post in there and went up with a fast early pace and paid a price. Big rider move to Maldonado who is 23% for Bonde. Top 3 two back ran 1,2,2, next starts. Best speed. Goes all the way.

VALUE: #7 PHANTOM HEAT (20-1)
Mismanaged animal trained by a guy that has little clue. However, this gelding has a few races that would win this. Last time he was at 50k for Cal-breds, he was beaten just a neck at 19-1. Finally at right level. Don’t be surprised when he hits the board.

A) 4,6
B) 1,7
C) 5,8,9
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Old 05-26-2016, 02:56 AM   #21
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SA 5/26/16 - 1st – MSW 56K, 4.5F DIRT

3 THEONEWEWAITEDFOR 2-1
2 DIAMONDINTHECENTER 5-2
5 WILD CAUSE 3-1
1 YOU MISSED IT 4-1

PICK: #3 THEONEWEWAITEDFOR (2-1)
Harrington, who is 17% with these 4.5F 1st timers, trained the dam and sire, both G1 type. Dam won her debut. Sire a G1 winner at 2. Good worktab for this and has his go-to rider (won last two 2YO MSW for him).

VALUE: #5 WILD CAUSE (3-1)
Was green in the early going. She got near the heels of others, steadied and dropped far back. She got her act together and was strong late for 3rd. Another by the superb 2YO star, Creative Cause. Big rider move to Bejarano. Nice drills. Expecting better.

A) 2,3
B) 1,5
C) 4,6
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Old 05-27-2016, 03:01 AM   #22
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SA 5/27/16 - 2nd – CLM 20K, 6F DIRT

5 NICARADALIC ROCKS 4-1
4 SUAVEMENTE 5-2
2 LAST ONE STANDING 7-2
6 SECRET ROOM 2-1

PICK: #5 NICARADALIC ROCKS (4-1)
Much confirmed speed and runner on the rail getting blinkers, it should be fast and contested, and set up for closer. This one will be closing from farthest back. Clocker report high on the 5/21 work. Kent superb with deep closers making an early move.

VALUE: #4 SUAVEMENTE (5-2)
Only one poor race and it was so bad, two back, that it can’t be considered. Was in a difficult chase mode behind even money Diodoro favorite who returned to win 40k in his next start. Should sit a good journey.

A) 4,5
B) 2,6
C) 1,3
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Old 05-28-2016, 09:05 AM   #23
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SA 5/28 -- 1st–LYNFR 100K, 6.5F TURF

3 AMBITIOUS BREW 7-5
1 FOREST CHATTER 6-5
2 PAY THE FINE 9-2
5 K THIRTY EIGHT 6-1

PICK: #3 AMBITIOUS BREW (7-5)
Was sent off as the 8-5 second choice in the 100k last time out but he bled and was vanned off. Clockers indicate he is working superbly in the morning. Was 5 for 6 in the exacta at this 6.5F distance before last. Expecting a fast early pace which will set it up for him.

VALUE: #2 PAY THE FINE (9-2)
Has a good record at the distance and is coming in off a big effort when 2nd at LRC. He was 2 behind Forest Chatter two back in the Sensational Star. Will have little trouble getting into the tri.

A) 1,3
B) 2
C) 5
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Old 05-29-2016, 12:55 PM   #24
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SA 5/29/16 - 3rd – OP CLM 75K, 1M 1/16 DIRT

2 RARE CANDY 4-5
5 CURLIN RULES 5-2
4 PRINCE OF ARABIA 6-1
1 DALMORE 7-2

PICK: #2 RARE CANDY (4-5)
Really put in a good effort when 2nd to the Triple Crown runner, Uncle Lino, who was the pace setter in the Preakness. Clocker reports say he really looked great in that 59 bullet work. Trainer Hofmans started meet with 2 wins already. He looks tough.

VALUE: #4 PRINCE OF ARABIA (6-1)
Cassidy runners typically get better with a bit of racing and this one is no different. Winner two back may go in the Belmont in 2 weeks. Has a decent set of drills coming in. Slow work indicates he’s ready. Use.

A) 2
B) 4,5
C) 1,3
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Old 05-30-2016, 04:36 AM   #25
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SA 5/30/16 - 1st – MSW 56K, 5.5F DIRT

7 MAI TAI 3-1
5 MALWARE 6-5
4 PLANE LUCKY 2-1
6 SWISS BREEZE 12-1

PICK: #7 MAI TAI (3-1)
Took a lot of action in the debut and actually ran quite well for 2nd to comeback 200k Melair stakes winner, Enola Gray. Homebred is working nicely for her comeback and picks up Castellano for this. She’ll be flying into this very late.

VALUE: #6 SWISS BREEZE (12-1)
Trainer doesn’t win often with 1st timers and this one is probably a better play underneath. She does have a big win early pedigree and works are decent. Sib won 124k

A) 4,5,7
B)
C) 3,6
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Old 06-03-2016, 04:33 AM   #26
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SA 6/3/16 - 1st – MDN CLM 75K, 1M DIRT

5 BEDEVILED 4-1
7 LATEST CRAZE 5-2
1 BEAUMARCHAIS 7-2
3 OSO 9-2

PICK: #5 BEDEVILED (4-1)
Really didn’t run badly in the route MSW in last start. That race was loaded and is going to come back strong (this is the 1st runner to come out of it). Lots of speed in this race and he’ll likely watch the speed duel up front. 65k purchase, well-placed.

VALUE: #3 OSO (9-2)
Street Sense colt is one of the few in the race that is bred to route. Garcia was up three back when he ran 3rd at 3-1 in MSW company. Blinkers go on today. Takes a needed class drop for this. Should be in a good spot in the early part of this race.

A) 5
B) 1,3,7
C) 2
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Old 06-04-2016, 05:02 AM   #27
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1st-MD CL 20K, 5.5F DIRT

4 TURF CLUB QUEEN 4-1
5 WARREN’S HONEY BEE 3-1
7 FIFTYPRECENTCOTTON 5-1
3 WONDROUS CAT 5-2

PICK: #4 TURF CLUB QU (4-1)
No tricky angles here. This 6YO has been getting better each start. The blinkers were added in last and it helped produced a big effort. 3rd in there won back at 15-1 vs mdn clm 30k types. This rider has been very good at the meet. Solid price here.

VALUE: #7 FIFTYPERCEN (5-1)
Exits the same race as the top pick and she was off slow for the 2nd in a row. She did make up a bit to split that field. Blinkers go on and a new rider takes the call. She worked 2x since that last race. Would expect her to be closer to the pace in here.

A) 4,5,7
B) 3
C) 6,8
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Old 06-05-2016, 04:31 AM   #28
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SA 6/5/16 - 1st – SIREN LURE 75K, 6.5F TURF

1 HUNT 9-5
5 ACT 5-2
3 TOOWINDYTOHAULROX 5-2
2 MISS DOUBLE D’ORO 7-2

PICK: #1 HUNT (9-5)
No speed in here and this one has been closest to the early pace. With the rail draw, they will go out with a clean break. Won 3 of his last 4, all at this distance. No disgrace in 3rd to Guns Loaded or Rocket Heat, both won G3 turf sprints after. A race flow edge.

VALUE: #5 ACT (5-2)
Only runner who has actually set the pace in any of his races. Comes out of a good 3rd at CD in a 5F sprint. Did well to close into slow early fractions. 4th place finisher was 3rd in the 100k Paradise Creek at BEL at 20-1 next.

A) 1
B) 3,5
C) 2
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Old 06-09-2016, 06:25 AM   #29
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SA 6/9/16 - 1st – MDN CLM 30K, 1M 1/16 DIRT

3 MONEY MAKIN MIKE 5-2
4 GOLDRUSHER 3-1
7 MIMIS BIG BOY 5-1
1 BLYDE RIVER 8-1

PICK: #3 MONEY MAKIN MIKE (5-2)
O’Neill made this move just once before. He brought back Navy Hymn off a long layoff at mdn 30k (dropped from mdn 62k where he had run 2nd). He had Bejarano on and won it easily. Solid works and blinkers added. He’s a logical player but clearly are some issues.

VALUE: #7 MIMIS BIG BOY (5-1)
Ran 4th in a key race at GG two back. Top 4 finishers all came back to win. Might want the added ground and he’ll get a weight alw here with the apprentice rider. Sharp drill over training track. Gets a look going long.

A) 3
B) 1,4,7
C) 2,5,6
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Old 06-10-2016, 01:34 AM   #30
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Full card analysis sheets for Belmont (Fri/Sat), Santa Anita, Canterbury available at the website in the signature

SA 6/9/16 - 1st – OPT CLM 40K, 1M TURF

2 JOAN OF ARCH 5-2
3 DO THE DANCE 7-2
4 OK DOLL 3-1
5 COMPEL 8-5

PICK: #2 JOAN OF ARCH (5-2)
Two of her three wins have come on the turf and both were at TUP. Her only try on this turf course was a solid 2nd place finish in her 2nd start at 8-1. Pearson has had success at Santa Anita and her runners are usually big overlays. Rider 1 for 1, 8-1 odds for Pearson.

VALUE: #3 DO THE DANCE (7-2)
Her last two were very poor as she eased 2 back and was burned up on the lead when in with much better in last. Despite the poor efforts, she still attracts Baze. Might end up controlling speed. Baze great on front end.

A) 3
B) 1,4,7
C) 2,5,6
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