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Old 06-11-2016, 06:06 AM   #31
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Belmont, Santa Anita, Canterbury Full Card Analysis Sheets at link in signature below

SA 6/11/16 RACE 6 – MD CLM 50K, 6F DIRT

1 WORLDWIDE 5-2
8 SKOOKUM SPIRIT 4-1
6 LOOK ME IN THE E 7-2
10 RICKLES 15-1

PICK: #1 WORLDWIDE (5-2)
This is really where Ellis does his best as a trainer. He likes to work horses into form and they peak 3rd start off a layoff. Tough loss in last as the even money favorite. Has a sharp 5F move 9 days ago. Looks like he’s overdue.

VALUE: #8 SKOOKUM SPIR (4-1)
Not sure there is much turf pedigree here so it’s not surprising he did not care for it. He set the pace going long in last and now cuts back. Effort when 2nd three back was superb. He was off slow two back. Sitting on a big race.

A) 1,6,8
B)
C) 3,5,9,10
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Old 06-16-2016, 10:23 AM   #32
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6/16/16 SA RACE 1 – MSW 56K, 5F DIRT

5 STORMY ENDEAVOR 3-1
7 OCEAN DREAM 4-1
6 MS WAKAYA 8-1
3 R SUNDAY SURPRISE 5-2

PICK: 5 STORMY ENDEAVOR (3-1)
Broke 1st in debut at 40-1 and ended up being very game for 2nd. Winner assumed command and went wire to wire for Sherlock. Moger is 1 for 17 with 2YO 1strs so you know she’ll improve. Received high comments from clockers for the June 10th work.

VALUE: 6 MS WAKAYA (8-1)
Dam broke her maiden in 2nd start, a stakes at Del, and was in the ’09 BC Juv Fillies. Trainer/owner 18% (2 for 11) with debut 2YO’s. Usually works slow. Two quick moves for this one.

A) 5,6,7
B) 2,3
C) 4,8
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Old 06-17-2016, 09:53 AM   #33
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6/17/16 SA R1 – MSW 56K, 6F DIRT (1:30 PT)

1 SEASIDE GLORY 5-2
5 TANDORA 7-2
4 TRYST 6-5
3 LITTLE DUME 5-1

PICK: 1 SEASIDE GLORY (5-2)
Hollendorfer filly is making her 3YO debut in here after two mediocre starts as a 2YO at Del Mar. She broke a step slow last out and was shuffled back on the rail for a lot of the running. Finished w/ interest for 4th. Clockers say she is working like a monster. A strong finish with Garcia up in last work.

VALUE: 5 TANDORA (7-2)
Trainer D’Amato is 6 for 22 (27%) with 11 in the money (50%) with a debut 3YO+ in a MSW on dirt sprinting. Last time T Baze rode a first timer for D’Amato, he won by 16 lengths with a 99 Beyer (Enola Gray). Clockers high on her morning activity. Her dam was a multiple G3 sprinting winner.

A) 1,5
B) 4
C) 2,3
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Old 06-18-2016, 11:49 AM   #34
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Full card analysis for Santa Anita, Canterbury and the Top 8 Best Bets of the Day can be found at the website in the signature

6/18/16 SA R1 – MDN CLM 75K, 1M TURF (1:30)

7 BEDEVILED 9-2
9 DREAMY MARTINI 5-1
5 TIZZING 6-1
2 RUN THE SHOW 6-1

PICK: 7 BEDEVILED (9-2)
Coming out of some very strong races. 3rd in last in a strong MSW. The winner is a Baffert runner who earned a 96 Beyer in that win. 4th was the Zenyatta offspring, Ziconic. Sib to 572k winner, Wicked Style (won 2 of 6 on turf for 71k). Should enjoy move to the lawn. Back to Desormeaux.

VALUE: 9 DREAMY MARTINI (5-1)
Has a lot of turf in the pedigree. Deep in the female tree is the great turf runner, El Gran Senor (won 7 of 8 on the grass in his career). Good 2nd two back at 17-1. He drew outside post in last and was wide.

A) 7,9
B) 2,5,8
C) 1,3,4,6
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Old 06-19-2016, 01:14 AM   #35
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6/19/16 SA R3 – OPT CLM 75K, 1M TURF (1:00 PT)

4 LONG HOT SUMMER 5-2
8 SINGING KITTY 3-1
1 GRANDMA’S HANDS 8-1
2 FASNALOICH 8-1

PICK: 4 LONG HOT SUMMER (5-2)
She hasn’t run a bad race on the turf but the question is if she is better at 6.5F vs this mile or longer. She was caught late in both mile efforts. She looks like she’ll be the controlling speed which could be an equalizer if the mile isn’t desired. Her dam won grass stakes going up to a mile but was best middle sprinting. She beat male runners last out. Holds a pace edge.

VALUE: 1 GRANDMA’S HANDS (8-1)
She was clearly best in last if not for just an awful trip. Once she got clear, she was finishing two to their one and lost a very tough photo. That was a soft field vs this group. Big rider change. 3 sharp works.

A) 4,8
B) 1,2,3
C) 5,6,7
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Old 06-23-2016, 10:19 AM   #36
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6/23/16 SA R1 – MDN CLM 20K, 1M 1/16 DIRT

6 MONEY MAKIN MIKE 5-2
4 BIG DISCOVERY 3-1
5 ALSTON 3-1
3 VIEWFROMTHEPULPIT 15-1

PICK: 6 MONEY MAKIN MIKE (5-2)
Some will be put off by the good effort in his last, layoff and drop. It might not be a good sign but worth noting that O’Neill is 56% (5 for 9) with long layoffs, coming back bottom maiden clm. That includes Navy Hymn (claimed 4x, won 5 straight). He was a vet scratch for 30k on June 9th.

VALUE: 4 BIG DISCOVERY (3-1)
Was reclaim by Yakteen, who hasn’t had a reclaim in the last 5 years. Note the low percentage trainer took the blinkers off when taken from Yakteen and Yakteen puts them back on. Bejarano been up for 5 starts on him, 3 in the money. Late run.

A) 6
B) 4,5
C) 1,2,3,7
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Old 06-24-2016, 01:22 PM   #37
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1 – MDN CLM 20K, 1M 1/16 DIRT

6 AIDAN’S HOPE 6-5
4 DUPREE’S DIAMOND 6-1
2 ONE FOR MY BABY 4-1
5 LUCKY DOUBLE 15-1

PICK: 6 AIDAN’S HOPE (6-5)
Was very unlucky to lose in his last start when 26-1. Did the dirty work pressing a fast early pace with the runner who ran 3rd (the fav). Very game, just outfinished. The race is turning out to be strong. 4th won easily at OTP next. 6th ran 2nd at SA at this level. Massive rider move to Baze.

VALUE: 4 DUPREE’S DIAMOND (6-1)
Could be an interesting longshot player in here. The trainer had one just one 1st timer ridden by this rider. It came with a Cal-bred at mdn 50k last year and that runner won by 5. Been working a long time. Doesn’t have to be too much here.

A) 4,6
B) 2,5
C) 3,7
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Old 06-25-2016, 12:34 PM   #38
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6/25/16 SA R3 – STR ALLW 40K, 6F DIRT

5 BASINCA 7-2
3 PETE’S PLAY CALL 3-1
1 CONCORD’S STAR 5-2
8 SCHILLAIRESS 6-1

PICK: 5 BASINCA (7-2)
Ran 2nd to Navy Hymn last time out. That one has since come back to just crush an opt 75k field for 5 wins in a row. He was well clear of third in that one. Runner-up two back won the 70k Desert Code in his next start. He’s been gelded since his last start. Should get a great trip in this spot.

VALUE: 8 SCHILLAIRESS (6-1)
No telling how good this one is. He won in his debut, for fun, at 4.5 furlongs. His comeback was a pop and stop on the turf last out, while drifting. Blinkers come off and a move back to the dirt. Bullet move 9 days ago. Too soon to give up on him.

A) 1,3,5
B) 4,8
C) 2,6,7
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Old 06-26-2016, 12:50 PM   #39
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6/26/16 SA R3 – MDN CLM 50K, 4.5F DIRT (2:29 PT)

3 SO HERES THE THING 5-2
4 CHOCOLATE GODDESS 4-1
6 KIMCHEE 2-1
1 IT’S NOT SO EASY 7-2

PICK: 3 SO HERES THE THING (5-2)
Has had some excuses in her two starts. Rider lost the whip in the debut and she was off slow in last. The winner got away from them in last but she was picking off the also-rans. Just a 7500 purchase last year, so the move to 50k is acceptable. Dam won nearly 200k, mostly sprinting.

VALUE: 4 CHOCOLATE GODDESS (4-1)
Other Rollins runner also drops in from a MSW race. She gets first time Lasix and blinkers on. 2nd and 3rd from her debut race both came back to win MSW races in their next starts. She might have been outworked by the top choice on June 7th.

A) 3
B) 4,6
C) 1,2,5
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Old 06-30-2016, 03:22 AM   #40
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SA 6/30/16 R1 – OPT CLM 20K, 6.5F DIRT (1:30 PT)

3 PULMARACK 5-2
1 ATTA BOY PETE 4-5
2 EIGHT SPOKES 3-1
4 SCATASTIC 12-1

PICK: 3 PULMARACK (5-2)
Hollendorfer runner cut back in distance in last and ran well for 3rd at 8-1. His win came on this track back in 2014. He was nibbling in stakes company last year and is a bit overdue to break through. He’ll be the fastest finisher here. Move to the dirt is good. His big late run gets up late.

VALUE: 2 EIGHT SPOKES (3-1)
Projects a good trip in behind the speed in here. Was in the same race as the top choice two back and was far behind that one. Won at this distance four starts ago. Nice works at LRC since his last time out.

A) 1,2,3
B)
C) 4,5
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Old 07-01-2016, 02:24 PM   #41
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Canterbury Park and Santa Anita sheets are free at the website in the signature

7/1/16 SA R4 – OPT CLM 75K, 6F DIRT (3:05 PT)

1 BENDABLE 7-5
2 STREET SURRENDER 5-2
4 SWEET HALORY 4-1
3 RUN FOR RETTS 7-2

PICK: 1 BENDABLE (7-5)
Despite the fact that she is a full sister to the Grade 1 type sprinter (and million dollar winner), Clearly Now, she didn’t take any money in the debut. She spread the field out behind her in a huge effort that screams talent. Love how she sat in behind speed and drew off in the lane.

VALUE: 2 STREET SURRENDER (5-2)
She is clearly better than her last race. She’s been steadied and rank in all 3 of her starts. Hollendorfer has blinkers off in this spot and she comes back working superbly. Could win if she settles down.

A) 1
B) 2,4
C) 3
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Old 07-02-2016, 04:49 AM   #42
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7/2/16 SA R3 – OPT CLM 50K, 7F DIRT (2:29 PT)

4 DRAGON FLOWER 2-1
1 TINDERETTE 8-5
3 CHALKING IT UP 8-1
5 YODELSONG 9-2

PICK: 4 DRAGON FLOWER (2-1)
Trainer has won 2 of her last 3 (both on the same day). This one finished well in her last start despite the 9 post and wide journey. She has shown good speed but has been rating in the last few. Good 2nd to the second choice three back when in blinkers. Has a good record at SA. Think this trip will suit her. Good post position.

VALUE: 3 CHALKING IT UP (8-1)
Might be a bit cheap but you’d expect to see some improvement going from a 4% outfit to this team. Won well in last going a mile and love the cutback. Clockers say she’s working strongly. Should compete.

A) 1,4
B) 3,5
C) 2
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Old 07-03-2016, 02:16 PM   #43
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SA 7/3/16 RACE 5 – MDN CLM 30K, 1M 1/16 (3:30 PT)

5 YA ANTABTTSY 9-2
6 FASHIONLY HANDSOME 3-1
3 LATEST CRAZE 9-5
1 BLYDE RIVER 6-1

PICK: 5 YA ANTABTTSY (9-2)
He was drilled in the debut but that was going 1M 1/8, in the slop, against better company. Ran evenly in last on the grass. Bought privately since that race. Trainer normally ships these kind to Canterbury but the fact he leaves him here is a very good sign. Was gelded since the last out. Expecting a much better performance.

VALUE: 6 FASHIONLY HANDSOME (3-1)
Removed the blinkers in last and he was beaten as the 6-5 choice. Blinkers are on again and picks up the leading rider, as well. Runner-up in last came back to run 3rd (of 6) vs mdn clm 50k company next.

A) 5,6
B) 1,3,7
C) 2,4
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Old 07-04-2016, 04:29 AM   #44
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7/4/16 SA R5 – MSW 56K, 6.5F (3:30 PT)

6 DASHIN ASHEN 15-1
3 LEVELER 5-2
4 C. C. ZIPP 7-2
7 SPINDLE 6-1

PICK: 6 DASHIN ASHEN (15-1)
Big rider for small barn. This trainer has had only 17 starters (5 horses) but does have 3 wins (nosed out in another) and on the board 7 times. First time this jock has ridden for him. Clockers indicate she is working very well and has some run in the mornings. Not much to go on from breeding. Tab tote for any board action.

VALUE: 4 C. C. ZIPP (7-2)
Did the dirty work when running with a debut winner who returned to win in an allowance for fun (87 Beyer). Blinks on two back but that didn’t work and were removed. Should be around a long time.

A) 3,4,6
B) 7,8
C) 2,5
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Old 07-06-2016, 08:49 PM   #45
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7/7/16 - CBY R4 –OPT CLM 35K, 1M 1/16 TURF (8:05 CT)

1 GIACALLURE 5-2
4 WARONTHEHOMEFRONT 4-1
3 MAJESTIC PRIDE 7-2
5 RED ZEUS 6-1

PICK: 1 GIACALLURE (5-2)
Really nice win here in what looks to be a key race. 3rd came back to win the 60k Blair’s Cove last week. 7th, 8th also won back next out. 5YO has come back better in ’16. Steadied badly two back in a race he was likely best. He saves ground here.

VALUE: 4 WARONTHEHOMEFRONT (4-1)
Was very strong in the win two back as he came off the layoff ready to fire. Don’t think he loved being on the rail last time out in the 100k Mystic Lake Mile. Loves this turf course with a 4 for 9 record and 5 for 11 at the distance. Must use in here.

A) 1,4
B) 3,5
C) 6,7
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