2018-2019 HONG KONG

[VigorsTheGrey]

Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey

R8:
w


Straight quinellas

R8 result:...So based on you way of betting, Nitro did I win something...?

[Nitro]

UPDATE:R#8 - 1400M C3 (7F)T..…...… 13-1-7 W/ 5-10-14 ………3:35 AM EST –

13-7-14-1– Dutch Win 28% Profit Margin-Passed / $23.50 Quinella & $144.60 Triple box (and the Quartet)/ ALL of that one!

[Ramblin]

Originally Posted by Nitro

None on the planet! They're yearly total handle from approx. 860 races is 3 Billion US$ greater than all the tracks in North & South America combined!

It's quite amazing....worth staying up all hours of the night.
I've been lurking in the shadows here on the site for about a year after stumbling onto it. I'll say I like your thoughts on HK racing as well as the way you analyze. Of course I don't know how you set your pre-race plays but I've learned following late money in HK is wise. It surprises me you have detractors here because your steady bankroll progression is smart but oh those last few minutes before the race begins. It has to be frantic to a degree.

[Ramblin]

Originally Posted by Nitro

13-7-14-1– Dutch Win 28% Profit Margin-Passed / $23.50 Quinella & $144.60 Triple box (and the Quartet)/ ALL of that one!

Big hit on the exotics!!!

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey

R8 result:...So based on you way of betting, Nitro did I win something...?

Sure depending on whether you just used your top Keys with the others. There's only 9 Quinella bets using the Top 2 with the others.

[VigorsTheGrey]

R9:
w

[Nitro]

R#9 - 1650M C2 (8.25F)D.….. 8-6-9 W/ 14-7-1 adjusted to 8-14-7 W/ 9-6-1 based the late action at 5 mins to post ….….4:10 AM EST –

14-7-5-4– Dutch Win 67% Profit Margin / $26.80 Quinella / My Dutch Win Quota has been Reached

[Ramblin]

Late $$$ on 3 & 4th placers....

[VigorsTheGrey]

R8:

[Nitro]

R#10 - 1200M C3 (6F)T......... 14-3-8 W/ 12-13-10 ….….4:45 AM EST –

14-6-13-7– Dutch Win 25% Profit Margin-Passed /

It turned out to be a profitable card with some decent Dutching opportunities. My Dutch Win bets produced an O.A. Profit margin of 39%, and was hit from 4 of 5 playable races.

[davew]

Originally Posted by Ramblin

Nitro, are there any other tracks on the planet that have the handles we see in Hong Kong? Anyone close? These handles are mind boggling.

I watched a couple races last night at Sha Tin, and made a place bet on one race.

Xpressbet let me make a straight bet for 13 cents.

[PaceAdvantage]

Originally Posted by Ramblin

It surprises me you have detractors here because your steady bankroll progression is smart but oh those last few minutes before the race begins. It has to be frantic to a degree.

Why does it surprise you? It doesn't surprise me. Perhaps we are reading two different posters?

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Ramblin

It's quite amazing....worth staying up all hours of the night.
I've been lurking in the shadows here on the site for about a year after stumbling onto it. I'll say I like your thoughts on HK racing as well as the way you analyze. Of course I don't know how you set your pre-race plays but I've learned following late money in HK is wise. It surprises me you have detractors here because your steady bankroll progression is smart but oh those last few minutes before the race begins. It has to be frantic to a degree.

Hong Kong racing is definitely worth staying up all night if you’re interested in making some money. All of my pre-race selections are based the tote board activities, either statically before live betting begins or dynamically during the last 10 to 4 minutes before post. Making last minute revisions to preliminary picks can be necessary at times. Fortunately the betting patterns are easier to follow in HK because of the number of entries in the majority of races and the amount of money being wagered.

There very well may be some detractors around here, but this is not a personality contest. I’m only interested in sharing some information which I find very valuable at times. If others have a problem with my successful approach that’s their problem, not mine.

[woodbinepmi]

Hong Kong Jockey Club at Happy Valley. January 16, 2019… 38th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 55 Degrees Partly Cloudy 0% of rain Wind: N 5 to 10mph.

Post time: 6.15am ET, 3.15 am PT. Rail: Course “B”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20190116_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
None

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 257 (Winners: 2nd, 5th & 9th)
Race 4 Heroic Guru (11-1)

Race 198 (Winners: 6th & 9th, Second: 10th)
Race 6 Seven Heavens (2-1)

Race 60 (Winners: 3rd & 6th, Second: 4th)
Race 8 Spirit (40-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
None

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 1 Smart Baby (3-1)
Race 1 Clement Legend (even)
Race 4 Good For You (10-1)

Horses for courses running tonight:
None

Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 4 Multigogo (9-1)
Race 6 Eighty Eighty (16-1)

Class specialists running tonight:
None

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 6 Gamechangers (4-1) It was Moreira’s first ride on this gelding for John Size, he broke well and was placed on the rail for the trip soon afterwards without any pressure from Joao. He raced in a perfect stalking position but unfortunately was never able to get off the rail for clear running room losing by a little more than 2 lengths with Moreira even sitting on him.

Past watch list runners running tonight:
Race 4 Good For You (10-1)

Key Plays:
Race 4 Good For You (10-1)
Race 6 Gamechangers (4-1)

Longshots:
Race 5 Manful Star (15-1)
Race 7 Little Bird (10-1)

[Nitro]

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 8 races at Happy Valley all to be run on Turf: [B] (from top Class to bottom) -
(2)-Class-3, (5)-Class-4, (1)-Class-5,

Post Time Race #1 – 6:15 AM WED EST

Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8

TVG is offering live video for all the races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action it’s available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1 - 2200M C4 (11F)T….……. 1-4-5 W/ 7----- …....6:15 AM EST –

R#2 - 1000M C5 (5F)T……….… 3-1-8 W/ 2-6-4 …….…6:45 AM EST –

R#3 – 1650M C4 (8.25F)T…... 6-4-8 W/ 3-7-1 .......7:15 AM EST -

R#4 - 1650M C4 (8.25F)T….… 5-4-8 W/ 6-3-2 ….....7:45 AM EST –

R#5 - 1200M C4 (6F)T.………… 2-1-4 W/ 11-9-5 …....8:15 AM EST –

R#6 - 1200M C3 (6F)T……..... 1-5-10 W/ 4-11-3 ….8:45 AM EST – .

R#7 – 1200M C3 (6F)T……..…. 4-2-6 W/ 12-1-8 ......9:15 AM EST –

R#8 - 1650M C4 (8.25F)T..... 2-3-8 W/ 5-9-7 ……..…9:50 AM EST –